📅 July 30, 2025|Crypto Research Brief
Cryptocurrencies involve uncertainty and risk. You may lose your entire principal.
This report is for sharing purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please make investment decisions rationally.
Total Market Cap: US$390 B 4.6%📉
24-Hour Trading Volume: US$146 B
(Data sourced from CoinGecko)
Market Cap of USD-Pegged Stablecoins: $262 B
二、SEC&ETF&Policy & Macro Analysis
Bitcoin Recent Market Analysis Summary:
1.
Reasons for Price Volatility:
1.
Mainly influenced by investors’ risk-off sentiment.
2.
Recently also affected by fluctuations in China-US trade relations, particularly strong statements from US officials Bassett and Trump regarding China’s tariff policies. Bassett emphasized that increasing pressure on China is crucial, while Trump expressed dissatisfaction with China’s continued purchase of Russian oil.
2.
Macroeconomic Factors:
1.
The ADP employment data will be released on Wednesday. If the data is strong, it indicates a healthy US labor market and strong economic resilience, which reduces the likelihood of a Fed rate cut in September.
2.
A rate cut in July is now almost off the table. The market’s focus has shifted to whether Powell will turn dovish in September, with the ADP data potentially influencing his stance.
3.
On-Chain and Market Sentiment Observations:
1.
Turnover rate has slightly increased during the workweek, but mainly among investors with positions costing over $100,000, reflecting concerns over renewed China-US trade tensions and the Fed’s hawkish stance.
2.
The FOMO (fear of missing out) sentiment has clearly diminished, buying momentum has decreased, but selling pressure is also easing, putting the market in a balanced state of reduced buying and selling.
4.
Technical and Risk Points:
1.
Overall support levels remain stable.
2.
However, the unfilled $112,000 URPD gap still poses a potential risk.
Overall Viewpoint: The market currently faces many uncertainties with frequent data releases and policy announcements, so cautious trading is advised. I personally lean toward expecting Powell to deliver a dovish signal in September to ease pressure, but ongoing attention to upcoming data and speeches is essential.
⚠️ Reminder: Meme tokens are very volatile and not backed by fundamentals. Prices are driven by sentiment and may drop to zero. Please stay rational and assess your own risk before investing.
1.
Linea Announces Tokenomics: Total Supply of approximately 72 billion tokens, with 9% Allocated for Early User Airdrop
2.Ethereum celebrates its tenth anniversary today, having grown from $0.3 to become the world’s 28th largest asset.
3.Ethereum 10th Anniversary Torch Commemorative NFT Free Minting is Now Open
4.The SEC Approves Bitcoin and Ethereum ETF Physical Redemption Mechanism