Crypto Fear & Greed Index
Liquidations History
Bitcoin Ahr999 Index
Bull Market Escape Index
Grayscale Holdings
Grayscale Premium
ETFs Premium/Discount
MicroStrategy's Avg Bitcoin Cost
Bitcoin Long Term Holder Supply
Liquidation Map
Bitcoin Long Term Holder Supply
FAQ - Bitcoin Long Term Holder Supply
What is the Amount of Bitcoin Held by Long-Term Holders?
The amount of Bitcoin held by long-term holders refers to the total quantity of Bitcoin controlled by long-term holders (LTH).
These holders are typically defined as investors who have held their Bitcoin for an extended period (e.g., over 6 months or 155 days, depending on the analysis tool or platform), favoring holding through market fluctuations rather than frequent trading.
How It’s defined and calculated?
Long-Term Holders (LTH): Identified using on-chain data by tracking Bitcoin’s UTXOs and analyzing the last time each coin moved.
Coins unmoved for longer than a set threshold (e.g., 155 days) are classified as belonging to long-term holders.
Quantity Calculation: The total sum of all Bitcoin that hasn’t moved beyond the specified timeframe, expressed in BTC or as a percentage of the circulating supply.
Why it is important？
Market Confidence Indicator: An increase in Bitcoin held by long-term holders often reflects confidence in Bitcoin’s future value, showing reluctance to sell at current prices.
Sell Pressure Analysis: A decrease suggests long-term holders are selling, often linked to market tops or profit-taking.
Cycle Signals: In bear markets, long-term holders tend to accumulate; at bull market peaks, they may reduce holdings, offering clues about market trends.
Relation to Other Indicators：
MVRV Ratio: High LTH holdings with a low MVRV may indicate an undervalued market.
RHODL Ratio: A drop in LTH holdings can increase the short-term holder ratio, potentially pushing RHODL into the red zone.
How to use It？
Rising LTH-held Bitcoin during price dips may signal a buying opportunity;
a decline at high prices could warn of selling or caution.
Daily report
2025-07-30 Report
📅 July 30, 2025｜Crypto Research Brief
⛱️ Before We Begin
Cryptocurrencies involve uncertainty and risk. You may lose your entire principal.
This report is for sharing purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please make investment decisions rationally.
一、Indicators
📊The Market
Currencies: 17,822
Exchanges: 1,331
Total Market Cap: US$390 B 4.6%📉
24-Hour Trading Volume: US$146 B
BTC 59.6% ETH 11.7%
Gas: 1.4 GWEI
Altcoin Season Index: 41
Fear & Greed Index:73
（Data sourced from CoinGecko）
🧭Stablecoin Metrics
Market Cap of USD-Pegged Stablecoins: $262 B
🔥Liquidation Map
二、SEC&ETF&Policy & Macro Analysis
BTC ETF
ETH ETF
🏙️Macroeconomic Overview
Bitcoin Recent Market Analysis Summary:
1.
Reasons for Price Volatility:
1.
Mainly influenced by investors’ risk-off sentiment.
2.
Recently also affected by fluctuations in China-US trade relations, particularly strong statements from US officials Bassett and Trump regarding China’s tariff policies. Bassett emphasized that increasing pressure on China is crucial, while Trump expressed dissatisfaction with China’s continued purchase of Russian oil.
2.
Macroeconomic Factors:
1.
The ADP employment data will be released on Wednesday. If the data is strong, it indicates a healthy US labor market and strong economic resilience, which reduces the likelihood of a Fed rate cut in September.
2.
A rate cut in July is now almost off the table. The market’s focus has shifted to whether Powell will turn dovish in September, with the ADP data potentially influencing his stance.
3.
On-Chain and Market Sentiment Observations:
1.
Turnover rate has slightly increased during the workweek, but mainly among investors with positions costing over $100,000, reflecting concerns over renewed China-US trade tensions and the Fed’s hawkish stance.
2.
The FOMO (fear of missing out) sentiment has clearly diminished, buying momentum has decreased, but selling pressure is also easing, putting the market in a balanced state of reduced buying and selling.
4.
Technical and Risk Points:
1.
Overall support levels remain stable.
2.
However, the unfilled $112,000 URPD gap still poses a potential risk.
Overall Viewpoint: The market currently faces many uncertainties with frequent data releases and policy announcements, so cautious trading is advised. I personally lean toward expecting Powell to deliver a dovish signal in September to ease pressure, but ongoing attention to upcoming data and speeches is essential.
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三、Market Highlights
⚠️ Reminder: Meme tokens are very volatile and not backed by fundamentals. Prices are driven by sentiment and may drop to zero. Please stay rational and assess your own risk before investing.
📰Daily Market Insights
1.
Linea Announces Tokenomics: Total Supply of approximately 72 billion tokens, with 9% Allocated for Early User Airdrop
2.Ethereum celebrates its tenth anniversary today, having grown from $0.3 to become the world’s 28th largest asset.
3.Ethereum 10th Anniversary Torch Commemorative NFT Free Minting is Now Open
4.The SEC Approves Bitcoin and Ethereum ETF Physical Redemption Mechanism
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