📅 May 07, 2025|Crypto Research Brief
Cryptocurrencies involve uncertainty and risk. You may lose your entire principal.
This report is for sharing purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please make investment decisions rationally.
Total Market Cap: US $3.094T 0.1%
24-Hour Trading Volume: US$89.6.88B
Market Dominance: BTC 62.1%ETH 7.16%
(Data sourced from CoinGecko)
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Market Cap of USD-Pegged Stablecoins: $244.8 B
二、SEC&ETF&Policy & Macro Analysis
1. Tariff Talks Likely to End with Minimal Result
In the end, most countries may only accept a 10% basic reciprocal tariff and a few mild industry-specific tariffs. In return, they’ll cut tariffs on U.S. goods, buy more from the U.S., and offer other benefits. But this won’t happen right away.
Each country wants to negotiate but has its own red lines.
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Japan wants the U.S. to remove tariffs on cars and steel, but the U.S. hasn’t agreed yet.
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The EU offered to buy $50B more U.S. goods but also warned it might impose tariffs on $100B U.S. products if talks fail. It also eased limits on China relations.
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The UK and India signed a trade deal.
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Trump recently spoke with Australia’s new PM and met Canada’s PM—both still sound tough.
Why? Because 10% is acceptable, but extra or industry-specific tariffs would hit domestic industries hard. So countries delay, waiting for U.S. pressure to rise—especially pressure from Trump’s voter base. Once that happens, he may soften.
Trump’s recent comments already show signs of backing down. He said countries may get lower tariffs to help control prices. The Financial Times reported the U.S. and the UK may soon agree: the U.S. will lower tariffs on British cars and steel, and the UK will reduce tariffs and digital taxes. This deal could become a template for others.
2. Why China’s Central Bank Moved Now
Although China had planned to cut rates later, it acted sooner than expected. There may be several reasons:
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China sees the U.S. won’t cut rates soon, and can’t wait any longer due to internal pressure.
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China expects the U.S. to cut rates soon and wants to act slightly earlier.
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China is confident in trade talks with the U.S. That could mean two things:
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a) The U.S. is under pressure at home and abroad, and talks must happen. The tariff issue might quietly end.
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b) U.S.–China trust is low. Even if they reach a deal, it will only be temporary. So no need to wait—just act now.
⚠️ Reminder: Meme tokens are very volatile and not backed by fundamentals. Prices are driven by sentiment and may drop to zero. Please stay rational and assess your own risk before investing.
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