ETH is holding just above a key fib cluster, showing signs of controlled distribution, not weakness. Smart Money doesn’t chase — they build positions while the crowd second-guesses.
The Structure:
Current Price: ~2,419
Local High (Premium): 2,482.09
Fib Retracements:
0.236 → 2,394.72 (mild correction)
0.382 → 2,340.68 (initial re-entry zone)
0.5 → 2,296.99 (ideal discount)
0.618 → 2,253.31 (deep entry, high confluence)
0.786 → 2,191.11 (structure last line)
Key Zones:
FVG already filled during the move up — imbalance mitigated
Order block (OB) at 2,191.11: high-probability reaction zone
Strategy Outlook:
Scenario A (Shallow pullback):
ETH tests 2,394 → 2,340, then continues the push to 2,482
→ Aggressive buyers step in early
Scenario B (Deeper sweep):
A drop to 2,296 → 2,253 opens the door for reaccumulation
→ Classic Smart Money trap before the next rally
Invalidation:
A break below 2,191 (and OB failure) kills this bullish narrative
Execution Logic:
Accumulation Zones:
Light: 2,340–2,296
Strong: 2,253–2,191 (discount reload)
Target:
2,482
Extension optional if momentum builds above recent highs