美股 / PM
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redwingcoach
PM has been smokin' lately - playing the odds with an SD channel
I am all about playing odds when I trade, so here is one that generates small, but highly reliable returns. In the past year, PM has closed below the PREVIOUS day's lower 2 standard deviation band boundary 38 times. In all but 2 cases, the stock closed higher than that initial entry within 2 weeks. Way more often than not, it was less than a week and most frequently, it was one or two days later. This isn't designed to be a whopper of a trade. I play the capital efficiency game. I want my trades to make more money per day invested than the average daily return of the market. This would have done so handily over the course of those 38 events. Additionally, PM is in a strong uptrend, above its 20, 50 and 200 day SMAs, pays 3%+ dividend and is a defensive name at a time when the market is taking turns worrying about AI and war and it makes it an easy choice for me today. I will enter at the close, and hold until the first profitable close. I won't add using this system until the price again closes below the previous day's 2SD boundary AND at least 5 trading days have passed (that avoids stacking a bunch of losing lots at the top of a long downtrend). I'll post the entry price as a note after the close. I just have a lot to attend to at the close today and wanted to get this posting out of the way early today. As always - this is intended as "edutainment" and my perspective on what I am or would be doing, not a recommendation for you to buy or sell. Act accordingly and invest at your own risk. DYOR and only make investments that make good financial sense for you in your current situation.
8:49 PM · Mar 2, 2026
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TotSamiyKaa
Global trend continuation on Philip Morris Int. (Ticker PMI)
NYSE:PM Fundamentals: - recent yearly and quarterly reports of PMI were pretty nice due to the art of bussiness (comsumer staples) as well as specification of the product - tabak-related items, and we all know that whatever happens people will continue smoking. Their business with electronic cigarettes improves, erobers the market and brings revenue and earnings. And this is de-facto one of the main reasons why investors would hold money in the business and even buy more - because of reccuring dividends and more or less stable earnings. Even the current lower than expected earnings for Q4 of 2025 are completely overblown by positive 2026-2028 earnings expectation report. I personally saw new production factories the company builds near the existing company buildings in the country I am living in, and that only means that they have money and they have demand on their product which makes it reasonable to continue expanding - as the market sentiment remains unstable and is the reason for worries of most of traders, the consumer industry has historically played a role of a safe harbor for the times of instability and as regular cash flow during bullish times - these factors do speak more for possible existence of further investors interest in the company, which may lead to further growth - but dont forget that there are financial reports every 3 months, and situation can always change and smart money might decide to take out money from an asset which is definetly on its local or global highs Technicals: - the negative factor is the possible upside W-formatted double-top pattern on the global picture which in case of negative news can push the price down - there are stop-losses directly above recent high in June 2025, so if price reaches that level a lot of short squeezes can be triggered - in case of positive scenario and move forward I expect the price to retest the closest zone which has not yet acted as support - but this will only happen if the further upward movement is weak - if the price continues the upward movement straight from the place it is now (182.00-183.00) it can mean a strong trend continuation - nevertheless if the "not-really-good-one support zone" does not hold the price at 173.00, a next target on 163.00 can be taken into account Conclusion: - due to market sentiment and technical upside W-formation it is recommended to follow the price action on Friday 6 Feb., but enter the trade on Monday 9 Feb. - if price shows strengh and moves forward the recent high, I will look for medium-term trend continuation - but in case there are no significant changes today on 6 Feb and bearish news over weakend, the short-term downside correction scenario to 173.00 or 163.00 will be taken under loop, but decission met on spot - sometimes it is better to wait than to hurry # - - - - - WAIT UNTIL 9 February for decission ⚠️ Short-term Signal - Sell ⬇️ ✅ Entry Point - Stop-limit on 182.00 🛑 SL - 187.24 🤑 Partial TP 50% - 171.36 🤑 Final TP 100% - 163.79 ⚙️ Risk/Reward - 1 : 2 and 1 : 3.5👌 ⌛️ Timeframe - 1 week 🗓 # - - - - - Only if short trade succeeds ⚠️ Long-term Signal - Buy ⬆️ ✅ Entry Point - 173.24 🛑 SL - 158.53 🤑 TP - 223.54 ⚙️ Risk/Reward - 1 :3.44 👌 ⌛️ Timeframe - 1 month 🗓 # - - - - - Alternative HIGH RISK ⚠️ Long-term Signal - Buy ⬆️ ✅ Entry Point - Stop-limit 184.80 🛑 SL - 17.34 🤑 TP - 223.54 ⚙️ Risk/Reward - 1 : 2.9 👌 ⌛️ Timeframe - 2 weeks 🗓 Good Luck! ☺️ # - - - - - DISCLAIMER: Not financial advice. Everyone must make trading decisions at their own risk, guided only by their own criteria and strategy for opening or not opening a trade
3:21 PM · Feb 6, 2026
0
1
TotSamiyKaa
Global trend continuation on Philip Morris International (PMI)
NYSE:PM Fundamentals: - recent yearly and quarterly reports of PMI were pretty nice due to the art of bussiness (comsumer staples) as well as specification of the product - tabak-related items, and we all know that whatever happens people will continue smoking. Their business with electronic cigarettes improves, erobers the market and bring revenue and earnings. And this is de-facto one of the main reasons why investors would hold money in the business and even buy more - reccuring dividends and stable earnings. Even the current lower than expected earning for Q4 of 2025 are completely overblown by positiv 2026-2028 earnings expectation report. I personally saw new factories the company build near the existing company building in the country I am living in, and that only means that they have money and they have demand on their product which makes it reasonable to continue expanding. - as the market sentiment remain unstable and is the reason for worries of most of traders, the consumer industry has historically played a role of a safe harbor for the times of instability and as regular cash flow during bull times - these factors do speak more for possible existence of further investors interest in the company, which can lead to further growth - but dont forget that there are financial reports every 3 months, and situation can always change and smart money might decide to take out money from an asset which is definetly on its local or global highs Technicals: - the negative factor is the possible double-top pattern on the global picture which in case of negative news can push the price down - there are stop-losses directly above recent high in June 2025, so if price reaches that level a lot of short squeezes can be triggered - in case of positive scenario and move forward I expect the price to retest the closest zone which has not yet acted as support - but this will only happen if the further upward movement is weak - if the price continues the upward movement straight from the place it is now (182) it can mean a strong trend continuation - nevertheless if the "not-really-good-one support zone" does not hold the price at 173.00, a next target on 163.00 can be taken into account Conclusion: - due to market sentiment and technical upside W-formation it is recommended to follow the price action on Friday 6 Feb., but enter the trade on Monday 9 Feb. - if price shows strengh and moves forward the recent high, I will look for medium-term trend continuation - but in case there are no significant changes today on 6 Feb, the short-term downside correction to 173.00 or 163.00 will be more likely - sometimes it is better to wait than to hurry # - - - - - WAIT UNTIL 9 February for decission ⚠️ Short-term Signal - Sell ⬇️ ✅ Entry Point - Stop-limit on 182.00 🛑 SL - 187.24 🤑 Partial TP 50% - 171.36 🤑 Final TP 100% - 163.79 ⚙️ Risk/Reward - 1 : 2 and 1 : 3.5👌 ⌛️ Timeframe - 1 week 🗓 # - - - - - Only if short trade succeeds ⚠️ Long-term Signal - Buy ⬆️ ✅ Entry Point - 173.24 🛑 SL - 158.53 🤑 TP - 223.54 ⚙️ Risk/Reward - 1 :3.44 👌 ⌛️ Timeframe - 1 month 🗓 # - - - - - Alternative HIGH RISK ⚠️ Long-term Signal - Buy ⬆️ ✅ Entry Point - Stop-limit 184.80 🛑 SL - 17.34 🤑 TP - 223.54 ⚙️ Risk/Reward - 1 : 2.9 👌 ⌛️ Timeframe - 2 weeks 🗓 Good Luck! ☺️ # - - - - - DISCLAIMER: Not financial advice. Everyone must make trading decisions at their own risk, guided only by their own criteria and strategy for opening or not opening a trade
3:05 PM · Feb 6, 2026
0
0
readCrypto
The key is whether it can turn bullish
Hello, fellow traders. Follow us to get the latest information quickly. Have a great day. ------------------------------------- (PM 12M chart) The 111.25-123.55 range is expected to be a strong support area. If the price falls below Fibonacci 1 (157.55), it is expected to form a downward wave towards 134.15. If it finds support near Fibonacci 1 (157.55) and rises, it is expected to rise towards Fibonacci 1.618 (206.50). - (1M Chart) The key question is whether it can find support near 153.32 and rise above 182.13. The 153.32-182.13 range, which is the HA-High ~ DOM (60) range, is considered a sell zone. Therefore, if you are in profit, you should focus on finding the right time to sell in installments. To initiate a new purchase, you should confirm whether support is found in the 153.32-182.13 range. Therefore, here's what we need to check: To continue the uptrend by breaking above a key point or range, the StochRSI, TC, and OBV indicators must show upward trends. If possible, 1. The StochRSI indicator should not have entered an overbought zone. 2. The TC indicator should remain above zero. 3. The OBV indicator should remain above the High Line. If the above conditions are met and the price breaks above the 153.32-182.13 range, it is highly likely to continue rising. If not, it will only pretend to rise and then fall again. - (1W Chart) The M-Signal indicator on the 1W and 1M charts is crossing the Fibonacci range of 0.886 (148.52) to 1 (157.55). Therefore, the key question is whether support can be found around 153.32 and an upward movement can occur. - (1D Chart) The basic trading strategy is to buy in the DOM(-60) to HA-Low range and sell in the HA-High to DOM(60) range. However, if the price rises in the HA-High to DOM(60) range, a stepwise uptrend is likely. If the price falls in the DOM(-60) to HA-Low range, a stepwise downtrend is likely. Therefore, a split trading approach is necessary. The price formed a low in the 144.60-148.53 range, which is the DOM(-60) ~ HA-Low range, and then rose. Therefore, based on a basic trading strategy, it is highly likely to touch the 182.13-184.10 range. The key to this is whether the price can break above the 163.59-170.29 range and turn upward. - Thank you for reading to the end. I wish you successful trading. --------------------------------------------------
1:12 AM · Dec 18, 2025
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0
isahebdadi
Philip Morris (PM) — Strong Support or the Calm Before the Drop?
Short-Term Outlook (1–3 months) Current Situation: Philip Morris stock is trading around $153.39, sitting right on a key support zone. The price recently bounced after a sharp correction but now faces resistance near the 50-day moving average (around $158.30). This makes the coming days critical for direction confirmation. Resistance & Support Levels: Immediate Support: $153.39 Resistance: $158.30 Trend Analysis: If PM can hold above $153.39 and break through $158.30, a short-term bullish move could develop. However, a breakdown below $153 would likely trigger renewed selling pressure. Price Targets & Stop Loss: Target: $158.30 Stop Loss: $140.27 Long-Term Outlook (6–12 months) Current Situation: From a longer-term perspective, PM remains below its 50-day moving average (around $177.73), suggesting the broader trend is still under pressure. However, if the stock can sustain above the $153–$158 zone and regain momentum, a recovery toward previous highs is possible. Resistance & Support Levels: Long-Term Support: $153.39 Long-Term Resistance: $177.73 Trend Analysis: A sustained move above $158 would shift momentum bullishly, targeting the $170–$177 range. On the other hand, if the $153 support fails, the price could drop toward $140 or even lower. Price Targets & Stop Loss: Target: $170–$177 Stop Loss: $140.27 Summary Short-Term: Watch for a bounce to $158 if support holds. Long-Term: A breakout above $158 could open a path to $177; failure below $153 risks a drop to $140.
8:57 AM · Nov 8, 2025
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