Short position 1:1 Scenario 1 0.4% risk 1h: 4h

If you haven`t bought the dip on PG: Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of PG The Procter & Gamble Company prior to the earnings report this week, I would consider purchasing the 152.50usd strike price Calls with an expiration date of 2025-11-21, for a premium of approximately $3.55. If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.

Procter & Gamble NYSE:PG will report earnings this week at a time when its stock has fallen some 10% year to date and the consumer-goods giant has badly trailed the S&P 500 for both the one- and five-year periods. What does technical and fundamental analysis show us? Let's see: Procter & Gamble's Fundamental Analysis P&G -- which owns Pampers, Gillette, Tide and many other well-known consumer brands -- plans to report Q3 results on Thursday before the bell. The numbers will come out when the stock has shed 9.6% so far in 2025 as of Wednesday's close, compared to a 14.5% gain for the S&P 500 SP:SPX . P&G has also trailed the key index over a longer period -- for instance, gaining just 5.8% over the past five years vs. a 95.9% increase for the SPX. The Street is looking for P&G to report $1.90 in Q3 adjusted earning per share on $22.2 billion of revenue. That would represent roughly 2% in year-over-year sales growth, but a 1.6% y/y decline from P&G's $1.93 adjusted EPS from Q3 2024. Meanwhile, 13 of the 17 sell-side analysts that I can find that cover P&G have lowered their estimates since the quarter began, while four have left their estimates unrevised. However, not one analyst has revised his or her estimates higher since the period began. In fact, two analysts highly rated by TipRanks have cut P&G's price target over the past two weeks. Kaumali Garawala of Jefferies (rated at four stars out of a possible five) and Andrea Faria Teixeira of J.P. Morgan (three stars out of five) both reduced the stock's target price while reiterating "Hold" ratings on it. Procter & Gamble's Technical Analysis Here's P&G's chart going back 18 months and running through Monday afternoon: Readers will first notice a large double-top pattern of bearish reversal, marked with a jagged red line and two red boxes at the chart's center above and featuring a $157 pivot. That helped produce P&G's year-to-date sell-off. This pattern also spawned a smaller double top with a $155 pivot over the summer, marked with jagged red lines and two red boxes at the chart's right. But despite all of that negativity, P&G's entire sell-off now presents as a falling-wedge pattern of bullish reversal, denoted with two blue diagonal lines and a blue box at the chart's right. It doesn't look like the falling wedge is nearing a close. But if it did, the pattern's upside pivots would be P&G's 50-day Simple Moving Average (or "SMA," marked with a single squiggly blue line above) and the stock's 20-day SMA (denoted with a red line). Going forward, P&G's 21-day Exponential Moving Average (or "EMA," marked with a green line) can carry more sway with swing traders and could serve as the key to getting this stock moving towards those upside pivots. Looking at P&G's secondary technical indicators, the stock's Relative Strength Index (the gray line at the chart's top) is reaching for neutrality after coming out of a nearly oversold condition. Meanwhile, the stock's daily Moving Average Convergence Divergence indicator (or "MACD," marked with black and gold lines and blue bars at the chart's bottom) had been decisively bearish in posture, but suddenly looks a little bit more bullish. The histogram of the stock's 9-day EMA has just moved into positive territory after more than a month below the zero-bound. That's typically a short-term bullish sign. That said, both P&G's 12-day EMA (the black line) and 26-day EMA (the gold line) remain below zero, which is historically bearish. However, the 12-day line has just curled above the 26-day line -- a bullish sign. All in, these are mixed signals for sure. A Simple Bull-Call Spread Options investors who think Intel will react well to this week's earnings might employ a simple bull-call spread. This strategy consists of a long call and a short call with a higher strike price. Here's an example: -- Buy one call with an Oct. 24 expiration (which will be after the earnings come out) and a strike price of $152.50 (the stock's 21-day EMA). This will cost about $1.95. -- Sell one Oct 24 call with a $155 strike (Intel's 50-day SMA) call for about $1.05. Net Debit: $0.90. This trade would risk $0.90 to try to gain $1.60 (the difference in the two strike prices less the set-up's net cost). If it works and INTC trades above $155 at expiration, the trader will realize a 178% profit. But should markets have a negative reaction to earnings and the stock closes below $152.50 this coming Friday, the trader will lose $0.90. That's the maximum theoretical loss on this set-up. And should the stock look like it will close Friday between $152.50 and $155 and the trader doesn't wany to own Intel, the person could close these options positions before Friday's trading ends. (Moomoo Technologies Inc. Markets Commentator Stephen "Sarge" Guilfoyle had no position in PG at the time of writing this column.) This article discusses technical analysis, other approaches, including fundamental analysis, may offer very different views. The examples provided are for illustrative purposes only and are not intended to be reflective of the results you can expect to achieve. Specific security charts used are for illustrative purposes only and are not a recommendation, offer to sell, or a solicitation of an offer to buy any security. Past investment performance does not indicate or guarantee future success. Returns will vary, and all investments carry risks, including loss of principal. 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🧭 PG – Trade Idea (Daily Chart) Bias:Bearish-to-neutral short-term | Potential swing buy near demand 🔹 Key Levels Resistance Zones: 179.99 → Major structural high (long-term supply) 171.05 → Intermediate resistance (Fib 50% region) 165.53 → Previous breakdown retest Support Zones: 156.59 → Current structure retest zone (prior support-turned-resistance) 149.98 → Key demand zone / possible bullish response area 145.00 → Lower demand extension --- 🔹 Trade Setup Scenario 1 – Long from Demand (Countertrend Bounce) Entry: 149.98 – 150.50 (demand zone) Stop: Below 147.50 Targets: TP1: 156.50 (prior support retest) TP2: 165.50 (Fib retracement + supply confluence) R:R: ≈ 1:3 🔹 Momentum Check Stochastics: Oversold → potential short-term bounce, but trend remains weak. Structure: Price failed to hold above 156.59; repeated lower highs confirm distribution phase. 🔹 Holistic Note > “The market pays those who wait. Let price come to you buy wholesale near demand, sell retail into supply.”

🔹 Long-Term Overview Since 2020, PG has been in a steady long-term uptrend, well supported by the rising blue trendline on the chart. This trendline has acted as strong support multiple times in recent years — and once again, the price is testing it near the $150 zone. This area is a make-or-break level for PG. Holding above it could trigger a new rally; breaking below could lead to a deeper correction. ⏳ Short-Term Outlook (1–3 months) PG is currently trading below its 50-day moving average, showing short-term weakness. However, it’s sitting right on the major trendline — meaning buyers may step in if this support holds. Watch for a daily close to confirm direction: A close above $155 would confirm a rebound toward $165–$170. A close below $148 would signal a confirmed breakdown. 🎯 Short-Term Targets: Bullish: $165 → $170 Bearish: $140 → $132 🛑 Stop-Loss: For longs: below $148 For shorts: above $156 📈 Long-Term Outlook (6–12 months) Two major scenarios are forming: Scenario 1 – Trend Holds (Bullish) If PG defends its long-term trendline, the broader uptrend remains intact. This setup may evolve into a double-bottom formation, targeting new highs. 🎯 Long-Term Upside Targets: First: $175 Second: $190 🛑 Stop-Loss: below $145 Scenario 2 – Trendline Break (Bearish) If the weekly candle closes below $145, the four-year uptrend will be broken. In that case, PG could retrace toward $130 or even $115–$110 in an extended correction. 🎯 Long-Term Downside Targets: First: $130 Second: $115 🛑 Stop-Loss: above $155

Long entry 152 Stop 148 -- if buy stock directly Target 160, 180 Risk management is much more important than a good entry point. I am not a PRO trader. In my trading plan, the Max Risk of each short term trade should be less than 1% of an account.

====== Volume ====== - neutral, healthy ========== Price Action ========== - Price rejected 158 - Change of trend observed ========= Oscillators ========= - all lines below ichimoku cloud, kumo cloud turn bearish - MACD turning down - StochRSI, bearish cross and entering band - DMI Neutral ========= Conclusion ========= - Short to mid term setup

On the Monthly Chart here we see that PG has returned to the 50 EMA and the Stochastic is in the oversold region, hopefully we can get some mean reversion. There is also a pattern forming on the RSI, which breakout could cause some bullish or bearish activity.

📉 Procter & Gamble (PG) | VolanX Risk-Off Outlook The structure is breaking down. Price action continues to respect the descending trendline, with rejection near 160–161. 🔎 Key Levels: Gap Fill Target: ~144.3 Secondary Extensions: 134 → 128 (if momentum accelerates) Risk-off mode activated until we see stabilization. ⚠️ Bias: Downside pressure dominates — if sellers stay in control, this train heads south into the gap zone. 🧠 At WaverVanir, VolanX Protocol highlights how structural breaks, liquidity gaps, and momentum alignment guide our institutional-grade positioning. #WaverVanir #VolanXProtocol #MarketIntelligence #PG #RiskManagement

🚨 P&G Bullish Master Plan: Steal Profits with the Thief Strategy! 🤑 📊 Asset: Procter & Gamble (PG) – Swing/Day Trade Setup📈 Date: September 11, 2025🎯 Plan: Bullish Triangular Moving Average Pullback – Confirm the Buy Trend! 🕵️‍♂️ Why the Thief Strategy for PG? The Thief Strategy is a clever, layered limit-order approach designed to capitalize on PG’s bullish momentum while navigating market traps. Backed by technical signals, solid fundamentals, and a cautious market sentiment, this plan aims to sneak in profits before the “police barricade” (resistance) stops the rally. Here’s why PG is ripe for a steal: Technical Edge 🧠: PG’s price action shows a bullish pullback within a triangular moving average setup, signaling a continuation of the buy trend. Fundamental Strength 💪: PG’s robust balance sheet and consistent dividends make it a defensive powerhouse, even in uncertain markets. Market Sentiment 😊: Retail traders are bullish, while institutions remain cautious, creating a contrarian opportunity for savvy thieves. Fear & Greed Index 😨: At 39 (Fear), the market’s caution suggests undervaluation, a prime setup for a bullish swing. 📈 PG Stock Snapshot – September 11, 2025 💰 Price Overview Daily Range: $157.05 - $158.18 Previous Close: $157.35 Market Cap: $372.16B Yearly Range: $149.91 - $180.43 😊 Investor Sentiment Retail Traders: 51.6% Bullish 🟢 (Positive buying momentum) Institutional Traders: 49.3% Bearish 🔴 (Cautious, mixed outflows) Overall Mood: Neutral, leaning slightly bearish due to institutional caution 😨 Fear & Greed Index Current Level: 39 (Fear) 😟 Insight: Indicates cautious market sentiment, with fear slightly dominating greed, suggesting potential undervaluation for contrarian traders. 📈 Fundamental Score: 7.6/10 ✅ Strengths: Strong liquidity, operational efficiency, and reliable dividends. Concerns: Inventory turnover (60.62 days), negative cash flow growth (-8.77% YoY). 🌍 Macro Score: 6.8/10 ⚖️ Tailwinds: Stable consumer goods demand supports growth. Headwinds: Tariff policies and geopolitical tensions may pressure global sales. Fed’s steady rates (4.25%-4.50%) could squeeze margins. 🐂🐻 Market Outlook: Neutral (Hold) ⚖️ Bull Case: Strong fundamentals, retail buying, and dividend reliability support long-term stability 🟢. Bear Case: Institutional outflows and macro uncertainties suggest short-term caution 🔴. 🎯 Key Takeaway: PG is a solid long-term investment with strong fundamentals, but short-term caution is advised due to mixed sentiment and macro risks. Monitor upcoming earnings and tariff developments. 🚨 🕵️‍♂️ Thief Strategy: Bullish Plan for PG Plan Overview: Use a layered limit-order strategy to “steal” profits on PG’s bullish pullback within a triangular moving average setup. This approach maximizes entries while managing risk in a volatile market. 📥 Entry: Layered Limit Orders: Place multiple buy limit orders at $156.00, $157.00, $158.00, and $159.00 to capitalize on pullbacks. Flexibility: Adjust layers based on your risk tolerance and market conditions. Choose any price level within the $156–$159 accumulation zone for entry. Why? The triangular moving average pullback confirms bullish momentum, with support at $156–$159 aligning with Fibonacci clusters and institutional buying zones. 🛑 Stop Loss: Thief SL: Set at $154.00 to protect against a breakdown below key support. Note: Adjust your stop loss based on your risk tolerance and strategy. The $154 level is a suggestion, not a mandate—manage your risk wisely, Thief OGs! 🎯 Target: Primary Target: $165.00 (strong resistance zone). Why? $165 aligns with the first resistance level and overbought conditions, where a “trap police barricade” may halt the rally. Take profits early to escape with your stolen gains! Note: Set your own take-profit levels based on your strategy. Don’t blindly follow the $165 target—secure profits at your discretion. ⚠️ Risk Management: Use tight risk management with layered entries to average into positions. Consider partial profit-taking at $160 and $165, holding runners for $172 if momentum sustains. Monitor macro developments (e.g., tariffs, Fed policy) for potential volatility. 🔍 Technical Breakdown: Why Bullish? Triangular Moving Average: PG’s price is respecting a bullish TMA structure, with a recent pullback confirming support at $156–$159. Fibonacci Alignment: The $156–$159 zone aligns with a key Fibonacci cluster, reinforcing the buy zone. Momentum Indicators: Stochastic RSI is in the bullish zone, and Rate of Change (ROC) shows increasing buying interest. Institutional Confluence: Institutional models signal a buy with a $159.98 target, supported by technical exhaustion of the recent correction. 🧠 Why This Plan Works? Technical Precision 🎯: The TMA pullback and Fibonacci confluence provide a high-probability setup for a bullish swing. Sentiment Edge 😊: Retail bullishness (51.6%) contrasts with institutional caution (49.3% bearish), creating a contrarian opportunity for short-term gains. Fundamental Backbone 💪: PG’s 7.6/10 fundamental score highlights its resilience as a consumer staple, ideal for defensive plays. Macro Awareness 🌍: Despite tariff risks, stable consumer demand supports PG’s long-term stability, making it a safe bet for swing/day trades. Fear & Greed Advantage 😨: A Fear reading of 39 suggests undervaluation, aligning with Warren Buffett’s “be greedy when others are fearful” philosophy. 💸 Related Pairs to Watch ( AMEX:USD ) Monitor these pairs for correlated market moves: AMEX:XLP (Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR Fund): Tracks consumer staples like PG. Bullish XLP supports PG’s upside. NYSE:KO (Coca-Cola): Another defensive staple with similar market dynamics. NYSE:WMT (Walmart): Retail giant tied to consumer goods demand. AMEX:GLD (Gold): Safe-haven asset for macro risk hedging. ✨ “If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!” #TradingView #PG #Bullish #ThiefStrategy #SwingTrading #DayTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #FearAndGreed #ConsumerStaples #StockMarket ⚠️ Disclaimer This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Trading involves risk, and past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and manage risk according to your financial circumstances.