The price has been moving since February between two weekly SMAs: the 200 SMA (blue line) has been acting as support, while the 10 SMA (grey line) has been pushing the price down every time it touches it for the past four weeks. At the moment, the price is resting on the medium‑term support indicated by the purple line, with a loss of about 60% from last year’s highs. Positioning (or even better, a weekly close) above the 10‑week SMA is the first confirmation to wait for when considering a potential entry or accumulation. Also keep an eye on volumes, which are currently in steady decline, as many traders prefer liquidity over risk. Be careful, because markets are moving with high volatility on every piece of news, so resistance and support levels may be broken more easily than usual.

** T.A explained ** A Range = two or more consecutive color candles. There are two types of ranges - accumulation and distribution. DISTRIBUTION RANGES DEFINED: BackSide (BS) Candle - First distribution candle in a distribution range. Expectation = strong reaction to price. long wicks reaching to or away from level. FrontSide (FS) Candle - Last distribution candle in a distribution range. Expectation = reversal, create a trend in the opposite direction. Distribution candles are used as support. ACCUMULATION RANGES DEFINED: Inverse BS (Inv.BS) - First Accumulation candle in an accumulation range. Expectation. = strong reaction to price. long wicks reaching to or away from level. Inverse FS (Inv.FS) - Last accumulation candle in an accumulation range. Expectation = reversal, create a trend in the opposite direction. Accumulation candles are used as resistance. Horizontal Ray tool on BS & FS levels are default support levels when dashed lines, tested when dotted lines and resistance when solid lines. Horizontal Ray tool on Inverse BS & Inverse FS levels default as resistance and shown with a dashed line, tested when 1x dotted line, and support when solid line. The inverse is true for the Inv. BS Inv. FS levels, they are resistance as dashed lines, tested as dotted and support as solid lines. Monthly timeframe is color pink weekly grey daily is red 4hr is orange 1hr is yellow 15min is blue 5min is green if they are shown. strength favors the higher timeframe.

These are the equilibrium levels for the current structure in Oracle. Levels are derived from internal framework using structure and geometric relationships—not time-based inputs. Focus is not on prediction, but on order flow response at price. Reaction at each level determines outcome: – Acceptance → continuation within value – Rejection → rotation away – Failure → discovery beyond the range

STRUCTURE Structure: Sustained Impulsive Structure Context: Maturity Phase POSITION Trend: Bullish Location: Upper Range Behaviour: Corrective STRUCTURAL INSIGHT Structure assessed from earliest reliable data. Strong secular advance → sustained impulsive structure. Currently showing corrective behaviour following extended advance. REFERENCE Part of the S&P 500 Structural Census. DISCLAIMER This analysis is for educational purposes and reflects structural market observation. Structure → Level → Trigger → Probability #SP500Census #MarketStructure #Oracle

🔶 Trendline Support Holds, Price Reclaiming HVL into Positive GEX Zone 🔶 The chart is showing a developing stabilization attempt after a recent decline. Price has been respecting an ascending trendline from the 135 area up toward 150, providing a clear structural support for the current move. This trendline now acts as a key reference for short-term momentum. At the same time, price is trading above the 150 put GEX level, which represents the largest downside positioning level and reinforces the importance of this zone as a structural zone. What makes the current setup interesting is that price is now attempting to reclaim the High Volatility Level (HVL), currently around 155. This matters. A move and sustained hold above HVL would shift the environment back into a positive GEX regime, where price behavior typically becomes more stable and volatility tends to compress. 🔶 Options Structure Context 🔶 - 150 – largest put GEX support - 155 (HVL) – regime pivot, currently being tested - 170 – highest call GEX level and upside reference If price can stabilize above HVL, it would effectively move into a positive gamma zone, opening the path toward the next major call cluster. After a sharp decline, the focus now shifts to whether this trendline + HVL reclaim combination can trigger a more stable recovery phase. As always, the key signal will not be the level itself — but how price behaves after the HVL reclaim attempt.

Current Price: 155.11 (Analysis was generated on Monday Morning) Direction: LONG Confidence level: 62%(Several professional traders remain bullish on fundamentals while acknowledging short-term pullbacks; price is sitting near the widely cited $150 support, giving a favorable risk-reward despite mixed short-term sentiment.) Targets Target 1: 165.00 Target 2: 170.00 Stop Levels Stop 1: 150.00 Stop 2: 147.00 Key Insights: Here’s what’s driving this setup. Several professional traders highlighted Oracle’s earnings beat and raised revenue outlook as a big positive, especially the 44% jump in cloud revenue tied to AI infrastructure demand. That’s the long-term fuel. What’s interesting is that despite this strong fundamental story, many traders also noted post-earnings profit-taking and rejected breakouts near the low $170s. That tension explains why price pulled back instead of straight-line rallying. When I put all the trader commentary together, the short-term takeaway is pretty clear: traders are cautious chasing strength, but they’re interested buyers near support. Multiple traders specifically mentioned the $150 area as a level where buyers are likely to defend. With price now hovering around $155, this looks like a classic “buy the dip near support” situation rather than a breakdown scenario. Recent Performance: You can see this playing out in the price action. ORCL surged hard after earnings, briefly trading near the $170–$172 zone, then rolled over as traders locked in gains. Over the last few sessions, the stock has drifted lower on lighter volume and is now stabilizing just above $150. That kind of controlled pullback usually signals consolidation, not panic selling. Expert Analysis: Traders I’m tracking are split on timing but not on structure. Several pointed out that the short-term trend weakened after failing near $172, which keeps upside capped early in the week. At the same time, many highlighted that the broader trend remains intact as long as $150 holds. The repeated focus on that level across different analyses tells me it’s the line in the sand for bulls this week. Technically, price sitting below the 20-day and 50-day averages adds risk, but momentum indicators are flattening rather than accelerating lower. That supports the idea of a bounce attempt toward $165 if buyers show up as expected. News Impact: The earnings beat and strong cloud numbers are still the dominant narrative, and they haven’t gone away. The market digesting a large infrastructure spend and valuation debates has added volatility, but nothing in the recent news flow suggests a fundamental shift lower right now. For short-term traders, the news acts more like a floor than a ceiling at these levels. Trading Recommendation: Here’s my take. I’m going LONG near current levels, leaning on the $150 support that multiple traders are watching closely. The plan is to look for a bounce toward $165 first, with a stretch target at $170 if momentum picks up mid-week. Risk is clearly defined—if $150 fails, I’m out. Confidence isn’t sky-high because short-term sentiment is mixed, but the risk-reward near support makes this a trade worth taking.

Oracle right now is sitting in that uncomfortable middle zone around $155 where nothing is clean. It already had its big move into highs, got rejected hard from a major supply area, and since then it’s been drifting without real strength. That rejection wasn’t random—it’s where sellers clearly stepped in with size. So instead of forcing a trade here, the idea is to let price move into areas where it actually makes sense to act. There are two ways to approach this, and they can actually work together if price plays out cleanly. First is the counter-trend opportunity. If Oracle drops into the $120–$135 demand zone, that’s where buyers have previously stepped in. If price reaches that area and starts showing strength—holding the level, shifting structure, and attracting volume—there’s a bounce trade available. That move could push price back toward $160 first, then $180, and possibly stretch toward $200 if momentum builds. But this is important—it’s a counter-trend trade. It’s not something to blindly buy. It needs confirmation. If the reaction isn’t there, you don’t take it. Now the bigger picture setup comes after that. If price does bounce and pushes back up into the $220–$260 macro bearish order block, that’s where the higher-probability play sits. That zone already proved it can reject price, and a revisit gives a cleaner opportunity to position short with structure on your side. From that supply zone, the downside targets line up clearly. First move back toward $180, then $140, and a full rotation back into $120. If weakness continues, price can extend even lower toward the $100–$80 imbalance. There’s also the alternative scenario. If price never bounces and instead breaks straight through $120–$135, then the market is showing its hand early. In that case, the path opens directly toward $100–$80 without the need for a retracement. Right now, the system is leaning bearish but without strong confidence. That usually means one thing—wait. The real trades are not here in the middle, they’re at the zones where decisions actually get made. So the plan is simple. Watch $120–$135 for a potential bounce. If it reacts, ride it up into supply. Then, at the macro bearish order block, look for the short that aligns with the bigger picture. Note that I am using my public invite only script for this analysis to identify structure, order blocks, fair value gaps, and multi-timeframe confluence. This analysis is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. Markets involve risk, and past performance does not guarantee future results. Always manage risk and make your own trading decisions.

Oracle (ORCL) has formed a textbook "Three Rising Valleys" bottom structure, breaking the massive downtrend. We saw a high-volume breakout above the $165 neckline, followed by the current low-volume throwback. Perfect conditions for a Wave 3 impulse. The Plan: Entry: Limit Buy around $154.50 (Buying the dip / Throwback zone). No chasing. Target: $190.50 (Wave 3 extension target & R/R alignment). Stop Loss: $139.50 (Placed safely below the last valley / W2 low. A daily close below invalidates the setup). Risk/Reward: ~2.4 Rule: Cancel the limit order if it doesn't fill or reverse within the next 5–8 trading days. Breakout momentum will be dead by then. Educational purposes only. Not financial advice.

what I'm seeing is a brutal 60% selloff we are now starting to see volume pick up and looking to get conformation of a breakout on the smaller time zone. bull sicario we will get a monthly close above 165.00 bear sicario we will fall through support and land on 124.00. that would be a great buying opportunity if it were to happen imo current price action we do have a positive reversal on the weekly rsi,I don't like to rely on indicators but that is a positive that we will hold support Buckel up and let's see if support holds

Currently double bottomed on the 200 weekly SMA, and looking like we are breaking out of falling wedge formation resistance. We positive earning report and debt halt, hopefully we make a reversal from here.