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shortermtrader
MRK - Merck & Co. | Technical Breakout Setup
Symbol: MRK (Merck & Co. Inc.) Timeframe: Daily/Weekly Strategy: Breakout Trade - Long Position 🎯 TRADE SETUP ENTRY: $85.50 STOP LOSS: $78.90 TAKE PROFIT: $98.88 RISK/REWARD: 1:2.1 📊 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS Trend Structure: ✅ All Timeframes BULLISH (Daily, 4H, 1H) ✅ Price breaking above key resistance at $85.00 ✅ Strong momentum across all indicators Key Levels: Current Support: $83.00-84.00 Breakout Level: $85.00 (previous resistance) Next Resistance: $92.00 → $98.88 📈 INDICATOR CONFIRMATION Momentum & Strength: RSI (14): 60.70 (Healthy momentum, not overbought) MACD: Bullish crossover above zero line Volume: Increasing on upward moves Price Action: Above all major moving averages (20, 50, 200) Pattern Recognition: Bullish flag formation breaking out Higher highs and higher lows structure Consistent institutional accumulation 💊 FUNDAMENTAL SUPPORT Healthcare Sector Strength: Strong pharmaceutical pipeline Consistent revenue growth Solid dividend history Defensive sector characteristics 🎯 TRADE MANAGEMENT Position Sizing: Risk: 1-2% of capital per trade Stop: Hard stop at $78.90 (7.7% risk) Profit Taking Strategy: TP1: $92.00 (Partial take profit) TP2: $98.88 (Full position target) Alternative: Scale out 50% at $92, 50% at $98.88 Time Horizon: 4-12 weeks ⚠️ RISK MANAGEMENT Invalidation Criteria: Daily close below $78.90 = Exit trade Failed breakout below $83.00 = Reduce position Warning Signs: Volume divergence on new highs RSI bearish divergence Broad market weakness affecting healthcare 🔄 ALTERNATIVE SCENARIOS Bullish Case (65%): Hold above $85.00, rally to $98.88+ Next extended target: $105.00 Neutral Case (25%): Consolidate between $83-88 before next move Bearish Case (10%): Stop hit at $78.90, reassess market structure 💡 WHY THIS SETUP WORKS Clean breakout with technical confirmation Favorable 2:1 risk/reward ratio Defensive sector with strong fundamentals Multi-timeframe alignment Tags: #MRK #PHARMACEUTICALS #HEALTHCARE #BREAKOUT #TRADINGSETUP #TECHNICALANALYSIS Disclaimer: This is technical analysis only. Not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk appropriately. Past performance doesn't guarantee future results. ✅ Like if you find this analysis helpful! 🔔 Follow for more high-probability trade setups! 🔄 Share if you're also bullish on healthcare!
2:48 PM · Oct 30, 2025
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3
Master_Traders_MTA
MarcoPernice
MERCK BULLISH (in long time)
. Overall Setup The stock has been in a prolonged downtrend (red descending channel), which was broken by a falling wedge pattern (a bullish reversal signal). After the breakout, price attempted to recover but was rejected around Top 1 – Top 2 (~$86). It is now pulling back toward a key support zone near $78. 2. Support & Resistance Strong support: $77–78 → potential rebound area (bottom of the channel + high-volume zone). Resistance levels: $82 (first intermediate resistance). $86–88 (previous tops). $95–100 (psychological + technical level). Final bullish target: ~115, projected from the wedge breakout. 3. Technical Indicators Bollinger Bands: price is at the lower band → potential reversal zone. RSI (14): Currently oversold (~35). Past bullish signals (April) anticipated a rally. Volume: declining during the recent drop → bearish pressure may be fading. 4. Bullish Strategy Entry: accumulate in the $77–78 support zone (oversold RSI + lower Bollinger band). Confirmation: breakout above $82 with volume. Targets: First: $86–88 (closing the gap + double top). Second: $95–100. Final: ~115 (wedge projection). Stop-loss: below $76 (support invalidation). Position management: take partial profits at resistance levels, hold a core position for the final target. 5. Strategy Narrative This is a technical rebound play based on: a completed bullish reversal pattern (falling wedge), RSI in oversold territory, price near the lower Bollinger band, and the expectation of regaining lost ground toward and above $100. The idea is to use the current pullback as a buying opportunity, positioning for a renewed bullish momentum.
12:07 PM · Sep 30, 2025
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0
TradeStation
More Downside in Merck?
Merck has been sliding for more than a year. Now, following a period of consolidation, some traders may see further downside risk. The first pattern on today’s chart is the range between the August 26 high of $85.59 and the August 28 close of $83.21, where the pharmaceutical giant spent almost three weeks. It closed under support on Friday and continued lower yesterday. That may suggest that support has been broken. Second, the 8-day exponential moving average (EMA) crossed below the 21-day EMA. MACD is also falling. Those signals could suggest the short-term trend has grown bearish. Next, August saw a lower high relative to late March (which also featured lower peaks than previous months). That may confirm a longer-term downtrend is in effect. Finally, MRK is back under its 50-day simple moving average. TradeStation has, for decades, advanced the trading industry, providing access to stocks, options and futures. If you're born to trade, we could be for you. See our Overview for more. Past performance, whether actual or indicated by historical tests of strategies, is no guarantee of future performance or success. There is a possibility that you may sustain a loss equal to or greater than your entire investment regardless of which asset class you trade (equities, options or futures); therefore, you should not invest or risk money that you cannot afford to lose. Online trading is not suitable for all investors. View the document titled Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options at www.TradeStation.com . Before trading any asset class, customers must read the relevant risk disclosure statements on www.TradeStation.com . System access and trade placement and execution may be delayed or fail due to market volatility and volume, quote delays, system and software errors, Internet traffic, outages and other factors. Securities and futures trading is offered to self-directed customers by TradeStation Securities, Inc., a broker-dealer registered with the Securities and Exchange Commission and a futures commission merchant licensed with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission). TradeStation Securities is a member of the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority, the National Futures Association, and a number of exchanges. TradeStation Securities, Inc. and TradeStation Technologies, Inc. are each wholly owned subsidiaries of TradeStation Group, Inc., both operating, and providing products and services, under the TradeStation brand and trademark. When applying for, or purchasing, accounts, subscriptions, products and services, it is important that you know which company you will be dealing with. Visit www.TradeStation.com for further important information explaining what this means.
12:19 PM · Sep 16, 2025
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1
RahulPritwani
Is Merck Ready for a Rebound?
Fundamental Analysis Financial Performance Revenue Decline: Q2 revenue fell 2% year-over-year to $15.8 billion. Earnings Drop: Adjusted earnings per share decreased by 7% to $2.13. Key Product Challenges Keytruda Competition: Facing increased competition for its top cancer drug, Keytruda. Patent Cliff: Keytruda’s patent expiration looms in 2028, posing a revenue risk. Growth Highlights Winrevair Success: New pulmonary arterial hypertension drug generated $336 million in sales post-approval last year, with blockbuster potential. Animal Health Segment: Sales rose 11% year-over-year to $1.6 billion, showcasing strength in a leading segment. Pipeline and Innovation Subcutaneous Keytruda: Aced phase 3 studies, extending patent protection. Pipeline Expansion: Enhanced through licensing agreements, including promising cancer and weight loss therapies. Innovation Potential: Likely to develop new therapies to offset Keytruda revenue risks. Dividend Profile Forward Yield: Offers a 4.1% forward dividend yield. Dividend Growth: Increased dividends by 39% over the past five years. Investment Appeal: Remains attractive for dividend-seeking investors. Technical Analysis The stock price has fallen by over 45% from its ATH of $134.63 in June 2024. The price seems to be consolidating within the range of $74-$86 from April 2025. Moreover, the consolidation seems to be coinciding with the trendline support and 0.618 retracement level at $78.35 of the price rise from $43.57 in August 2015 to $134.63 in June 2024. Further, the daily RSI is just above 60, indicating that a rebound may be near the corner. Entry: Above $86 Targets: $94.92, $99.84, and $102.48. Stop Loss: $78.35-$77.
2:49 PM · Aug 16, 2025
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