i sat in the library frustrated at my trading skills. "I still don't know how to trade properly" I told myself, "How can i improve myself? how can i improve my trading skills?" I questioned myself. You maybe thinking "Trading is hard, trading is complicated" But its not that hard really what matters is that ae using a system to trade. The bear market has finally arrived. Now look at this chart you you will see that the candlestick pattern is called the bearish harami This is a bearish reversal signal telling you that this Stock is in a bear market territory another stock for you to look at is: So remember the top 2 stocks in a bear market are: NYSE:IBM NASDAQ:AMZN Trade safe. Rocket boost this content to learn more Disclaimer: Trading is risky please use a simulation trading account before you trade with real money.

Team, We are not buying now. Price is still trading below major descending resistance (R). As long as we are below R, the structure remains under pressure. ✅ What We Are Waiting For We only buy if: Price breaks above the descending resistance (R) A candle closes clearly above it We see strength (no immediate rejection wick) Ideally: a small pullback that holds above R No breakout = no trade. 🟢 Entry Plan (After Confirmation) Once price: Breaks above R Retests and holds

On the daily chart, the stock had been moving inside a clear ascending channel for months. Recently, price broke below the channel support, which is a bearish technical signal. The current bounce looks like a pullback toward the broken support, which may now act as resistance. Short-Term Outlook If selling pressure continues, downside targets are: Targets • $245 • $235 • $220 Stop Loss • Above $265 Long-Term Outlook The long-term trend is weakened but not fully bearish yet. If the price re-enters the channel, bullish momentum could return. Targets • $285 • $305 • $330 Long-Term Stop Loss • Below $220 Brief Fundamental View IBM is focusing heavily on AI and Hybrid Cloud, especially after acquiring Red Hat. Growth drivers include enterprise AI solutions and cloud services, but the company still faces strong competition from Microsoft and Amazon.

International Business Machines (IBM) has just printed a massive monthly bearish engulfing candle into the top of its rising channel, so I’m treating this as a potential exhaustion phase on the higher timeframe. If price gives a relief rally back into my marked Sell zone, I’ll look to build a short position with the channel high and engulfing candle high as my invalidation area. If we instead see a continuation sell‑off from here, I’ll stand aside on the short and prepare to execute the second leg of the plan: A higher‑timeframe long from the lower buy zone, aligned with prior demand and channel support. Both paths use the same thought process fade strength into monthly supply, then be ready to buy size into major demand if the correction extends. If you’d like to study the methodology behind this idea, you can read more about my process and background in the profile bio.

IBM is trading at $237.60 — sitting at just 15.5% of its range near the floor of $223.37 against a high of $315. The read is strong bear at 47.27% edge with a 2.79x multiplier, and price has retraced -25.7% from highs with only a 7.6% bounce tagged as breakdown at 0.3x. But volume is only elevated at 1.29 Z-score, not extreme, and directional flow is bull dominant. Bears own the structure while bulls are quietly bidding into the weakness. That mismatch is worth paying attention to. Price Structure The -25.7% retrace from $315 is deep and the 0.3x bounce multiplier confirms this isn't recovering — it's broken down. The 7.6% bounce off lows is minimal relative to the damage. Price sits near the floor at 15.5% of its range with a supply zone visible overhead. The spread is deep at 50% which means signals are split more than they first appear — this isn't the 90%+ consensus you see in true capitulation. Harami patterns at 0:2 bearish and pattern total at 0:5 red show indecision and reversal attempts are failing. No squeeze forming. Directional Bias Total signals run 13 green vs 39 red across 112 checks — 25/75 split with deep bear classification. EMAs are heavily bearish at 1:6. Candles 4:10. Ichimoku 5:7. The trend structure is clearly bearish but not as extreme as the price action suggests. Counter-trend reads 3:11 — bears dominate reversals but there are 3 bullish counter-trend signals alive, which is more than zero. That matters at floors. Momentum is bear with rising direction and bandwidth at 38.29%. Rising momentum direction within a bearish read means the rate of decline is slowing. Bandwidth at 38% still has room but the rising tag suggests the worst of the momentum may be behind. Doji/shooting star at 7:1 and the DD/SS count at 7:1 shows decision patterns are forming — the market is starting to think rather than just sell. Volume Intelligence Volume Z at 1.29 is elevated but not extreme. Total volume is 746.17K against a supply base of 177.29M. Momentum is accelerating at 1.62 — volume is picking up pace. The 1:5 timeframe comparison shows -1.29 short-term vs -0.32 longer-term, both negative on the compression read but the short-term is more active. Here's the key divergence: directional flow is bull dominant. Bull Z at 2.27 vs bear Z at -0.62. Despite price sitting in deep bear territory at 15.5% of its range, the volume flow is being absorbed by buyers, not sellers. Short-term momentum is expanding at 276.9% — that's massive expansion on the buy-side flow. OBV Z at 0.31 with outflow direction and normal divergence is mixed. The slight positive OBV Z suggests cumulative flow isn't deeply negative, but the outflow tag means the most recent flow is still selling. The contradiction between bull dominant active flow and OBV outflow suggests fresh buying is meeting residual distribution. Scenarios Bullish (40%): The bull dominant volume flow at a 15.5% price floor is the early accumulation signal. Bull Z at 2.27 with expanding momentum at 276.9% means someone is buying this aggressively into the weakness. If price holds above $223.37 and the 3 counter-trend bullish signals expand, this could mark the base-building phase. First recovery target would be $250-255 where prior support becomes resistance. Bearish (40%): The trend structure is firmly bearish across EMAs, candles, and Ichimoku. Breakdown at 0.3x with a -25.7% retrace and only 7.6% bounce means the path of least resistance is still lower. OBV outflow confirms sellers haven't fully exhausted. If $223.37 breaks, the next support is significantly lower. Pattern total at 0:5 says reversal attempts keep failing. Sideways (20%): Price consolidates between $230-245 as the conflict between bearish structure and bullish volume flow resolves. The 50% spread supports a period of indecision. Rising bear momentum direction combined with bull dominant volume suggests forces are approaching equilibrium. What to Watch Bull Z sustaining above 2.0 while price holds the $223.37 floor would confirm accumulation. OBV flipping from outflow to inflow would be the confirmation that distribution is exhausting. Counter-trend signals expanding above 3 bullish would signal structural shift beginning. If bear momentum bandwidth peaks and begins contracting while volume remains bull dominant, the turn is underway. On the bearish side, if the $223.37 floor breaks on rising volume with bear Z crossing positive, the bull dominant flow was just a dead cat bounce getting absorbed by distribution. Watch the spread — if it widens above 50% toward the bear side, consensus is hardening against recovery. Risk Note Price at 15.5% of its range with breakdown classification is damaged goods structurally. But the bull dominant volume divergence at the floor is the kind of signal that precedes turns. The probabilities are split evenly because the data genuinely conflicts — structure says down, volume flow says accumulation. This is not a high-conviction setup in either direction. Size for uncertainty. Let the floor at $223.37 be the deciding level — hold it and the accumulation thesis builds, lose it and the breakdown accelerates. Structure says sell. Volume says someone is buying. One of them is wrong.

It has been a challenging stretch for IBM stock after it posted one of its worst declines in years during yesterday’s session, falling more than 12%. The renewed selling pressure intensified after Anthropic introduced a new tool called “Claude Code,” capable of automating systems written in COBOL, an older programming language widely used in corporate environments historically linked to IBM. This announcement raised concerns in the market, as a meaningful portion of IBM’s business, particularly within its enterprise services segment, is tied to the modernization and maintenance of COBOL-based systems. This new development could introduce competition capable of eroding a stable source of revenue for the company. In this context, confidence quickly deteriorated amid fears that IBM may be falling behind in the artificial intelligence race. As long as this perception persists, selling pressure is likely to remain relevant in the coming trading sessions. Uptrend loses momentum Following the recent price decline, a clear break of the upward trendline that had been in place for several months has occurred. This move could signal a shift in the dominant technical structure and open the door to a new bearish bias in the short term. If downward pressure remains steady in upcoming sessions, a new descending trendline could begin to form and dominate price movements in the weeks ahead. RSI The RSI remains below the neutral 50 level, reflecting dominance of selling momentum. However, the indicator has recently dropped below the 30 level, entering oversold territory, which may suggest an excessive level of bearish pressure. This behavior could open the door to potential short-term technical rebounds in the coming sessions. MACD Meanwhile, the MACD histogram remains below the zero line, indicating that short-term moving averages continue to reflect a prevailing bearish bias. As long as this dynamic holds, it may be difficult for the stock to establish more sustained buying momentum in the short term. Key levels to watch $263: Relevant resistance zone corresponding to the most recent area of price neutrality on the chart. A move back toward this level could reactivate a buying bias and restore momentum to the previous upward trendline. $234: Near-term barrier that could act as a reference level in the event of short-term corrective rebounds. $215: Low area not seen since April 2025 and the most relevant bearish barrier. Sustained moves below this level could trigger the formation of a more aggressive downward trendline and reinforce the dominance of the bearish bias in the short term. Written by Julian Pineda, CFA, CMT – Market Analyst

Every year the market has a meme. This year the meme is that SaaS is going to $0 because of AI. As a contrarian I have to be mindful of what happens when "everybody knows" something. This is hard for me personally to take a contrarian view on because I have been deep in work with OpenClaw building trading systems for the last few weeks. I've seen firsthand how capable these models are. So when I say IBM is being unfairly punished... I'm saying it despite my own experience. That's exactly what makes a contrarian trade uncomfortable. IBM just sold off from $325 to the $250s — over 20% in a few months. The narrative is clean: AI replaces consulting, AI replaces middleware, Claude is being used to streamline Cobol. The market is pricing in the funeral before the patient is even sick. The 50% retracement of IBM's major trend — the move from the October 2022 low near $115 to the November 2025 high at $325 — sits around $220. Also present is a significant Volume Profile level. That's where the balance of the entire bull run lives. What gives me confidence to be a buyer here is the Weekly Ichimoku. The Chikou Span has not yet confirmed bearish — it hasn't crossed below the cloud. Until it does, this is a pullback inside a bull trend, not a reversal. And that's the beauty of Ichimoku: it tells me exactly when I'm wrong. If the CK confirms bearish, I'm out. No opinions, no hoping. The chart will tell me. "Partially right" and "priced in at a 40% discount" are two very different things. I'll let the level and the Ichimoku do the talking. Trade wisely!

With yesterday’s 13% drop, IBM is down nearly 30% so far this month. Monday’s sell-off sent the Stock below three key supports – two 1M levels at US$241.01 and US$227.50, and one 3M base at US$248.07 – which are now labelled as resistance. The one-way move also drove price into support around US$221.00, which is crafted by 1Y and 3M levels. While the US$221.00 area offers traders notable support, any upside move could be capped by the neighbouring 1M resistance at US$227.50. Should price drop through current support, this could open the door for further selling to another layer of support between US$203.48 (3M) and US$207.73 (1M). Written by the FP Markets Research Team

Why IBM Shares Plunged by More Than 13% Yesterday, shares in IBM Corporation opened above $254 but closed below $224. By some estimates, this marked the company’s largest single-day decline in the past 25 years. Since the start of February, the stock has fallen by roughly 27%, its worst monthly performance since 1968. Why Did IBM’s Share Price Drop? The main trigger was an announcement by Anthropic about the launch of a new AI tool, Claude Code, designed to modernise legacy COBOL code. This is particularly significant for IBM, as much of “Big Blue’s” business is tied to mainframes processing transactions for banks and government institutions in COBOL. Traditionally, upgrading such systems required “armies of consultants” and multi-billion-dollar budgets. The new AI solution promises to automate this process, making it faster and more cost-effective. This not only poses a direct threat to IBM’s services and support revenues, but also reignites concerns that AI could reshape the entire technology sector, rendering established business models less sustainable. Technical Analysis of IBM Shares Throughout 2025, IBM stock traded within an ascending channel, but the psychological $300 level proved to be strong resistance. The price attempted to secure a foothold above it for several months, without success. The earnings release on 28 January turned into a bull trap and marked the beginning of an extraordinary sell-off, accompanied by rising volume on bearish candles — a sign of market weakness. At the same time, several major analysts (including those at Goldman Sachs and Jefferies) have maintained or reiterated their “Buy” ratings. Their optimism is based on the view that panic surrounding Anthropic’s tool may be overstated, while IBM’s financial fundamentals remain solid. Although the sharp downward momentum may continue in the near term, a support zone could emerge where several technical levels converge: → the psychological $200 mark; → the 2025 low around $215; → the lower boundary of an increasingly clear channel (shown in red). This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

Hello Everyone, Followers, After a quick break I am here again :) . So IBM is the next one Let's drill down: 📊 Technical Overview IBM pulled back sharply from recent highs but found strong support at the long-term rising trendline , which has acted as a major structural support since 2024. Price reacted precisely from the $255–260 demand zone, aligning with the 0.236 Fibonacci level and trend support. The bounce shows buyers defending the long-term uptrend, but the stock is still trading below key moving averages and needs confirmation. Momentum indicators suggest a potential short-term recovery phase rather than a full trend reversal — for now. 🔹 Key Levels Support 255 – 260 → Long-term trendline support (critical) 235 → Major demand zone 225 → Structural support Resistance / Targets 264 → First resistance (0.382 Fib) 282 – 296 → Key supply zone 313+ → Previous highs / breakout zone 🔮 Outlook As long as the trendline holds, the broader bullish structure remains intact. However, price needs to reclaim the mid-range resistance to confirm strength. 🎯 What I Expect Short term, I expect consolidation or a bounce toward 264–282 . If buyers push above 296 , the uptrend continuation becomes likely. If 255 breaks, downside toward 235 becomes the next scenario. If you enjoy and like clean, simple analysis — follow me for more. This is just my thinking and it is not invesment suggestion , please do not make any decision with my anaylsis. Have a lovely Sunday to all and hopefully green trade day for next Week. #TechnicalAnalysis #TradingView #Stocks #USStocks #PriceAction #TrendTrading #SwingTrading #Support #Trendline #Reversal