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The-Thief
Can GOOGL Sustain Its Bullish Run Before 320 Resistance Hits?
🎯 GOOGL HEIST: Operation Alphabet Escape Plan 💰 Alphabet Inc. (NASDAQ) - Swing Trade | Multi-Layer Entry Strategy 📊 THE SETUP Sentiment: 🟢 BULLISH | Timeframe: Swing Trade | Risk Level: Medium 🎲 ENTRY STRATEGY: "THIEF LAYERING" Strategic multi-level buy accumulation using limit orders Layer-by-Layer Approach: 🔵 Layer 1: $270.00 (Initial entry - 30% position) 🔵 Layer 2: $275.00 (Support zone - 35% position) 🔵 Layer 3: $280.00 (Strength builder - 35% position) Why This Works? Multiple entries reduce average cost basis and allow maximum capital efficiency. If price rejects higher, you've got fills at lower zones. If it pumps, you're already in! 💡 🛑 STOP LOSS PROTECTION Hard Stop: 🚨 $265.00 (Below support structure) This represents a 1.9% risk from Layer 1 entry — disciplined risk management at its finest. ⚠️ Risk Acknowledgment: Your stop loss, your rules. We're traders, not financial advisors. Adjust based on YOUR risk tolerance and account size. This is educational strategy sharing, not personalized financial advice. 🎖️ PROFIT TARGETS & ESCAPE ROUTES Primary Target: 📈 $310.00 Strong resistance zone forming Overbought conditions developing Action: Take 50-60% profits here Secondary Target: 🏆 $320.00 Police barricade zone (extreme resistance) High trap probability at this level Action: Scale out remaining 40-50% OR tighten stops to breakeven Exit Philosophy: Greed kills traders. Take profits systematically. The best trade is one where you sleep well at night. 😴 ⚠️ Profit Note: Your targets, your timing. Scale exits based on market conditions, volume confirmation, and YOUR comfort level. 🔗 RELATED PAIRS TO MONITOR (Correlation Watch) 🔵 NASDAQ:MSFT 📱 — High Correlation (Tech Sector) | If MSFT breaks down, GOOGL faces sector headwinds. Watch for divergence signals here first. 🔵 NASDAQ:QQQ 🔺 — 0.85+ Correlation (Nasdaq-100) | QQQ weakness = potential GOOGL pullback signal. This is your sector health check before entry. 🔵 AMEX:IWM 📊 — Inverse Correlation (Rotation Risk) | Russell 2000 strength = growth money leaving mega-caps. If small-caps pump, tech might cool off. 🔵 NASDAQ:TLT 💳 — Interest Rate Proxy | Rising bonds = tech pressure; falling bonds = tech friendly. Fed policy flows directly through here. 🔵 TVC:VIX 😰 — Volatility Index | VIX spike = risk-off, potential GOOGL liquidation. Above 20 = reduce position exposure. Key Insight: Watch QQQ and MSFT first. They're your canary in the coal mine. If sector is weak, reconsider your entry conviction. 🚨 💎 STRATEGY SUMMARY ✅ Bullish bias with disciplined multi-entry accumulation ✅ Defined risk with hard stop at $265 ✅ Staged profit-taking to lock gains systematically ✅ Correlation awareness prevents surprise sector rotations 🎬 FINAL THOUGHTS Remember: This is the Thief Strategy™ — a fun, educational framework for swing trading, NOT financial advice. Trade at your own risk. Position sizing, stop losses, and profit targets should reflect YOUR unique situation, risk tolerance, and account size. The heist only works if you ESCAPE with profits. Don't get caught holding the bag! 💼🚪 ✨ If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community! #GOOGL #AlphabetInc #SwingTrade #TechAnalysis #TradingStrategy #NASDAQ #TradingIdeas #MultiLayers #RiskManagement #Bullish #ThiefStrategy #TradingCommunity #TradingView #Technical #StockMarket
6:28 AM · Nov 7, 2025
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BullBearInsights
GOOGL Momentum Wave at Peak Extension- (Nov. 3–7)
GOOGL Momentum Wave at Peak Extension – Liquidity Battle Ahead🔥 WEEKLY TIMEFRAME ANALYSIS 1. Market Structure GOOGL remains in a dominant weekly uptrend with a clean BOS breakout over previous highs. The chart printed a shallow pullback that respected the mid-trendline before pushing higher — that’s characteristic of momentum-driven accumulation. We saw previous CHoCH attempts during earnings volatility, but none sustained. That tells me smart money absorbed dips instead of distributing. Major liquidity sits below:
• $207–$210
• $186–$190 Above current price is discovery — thin liquidity, fast travel potential. 2. Supply & Demand / Order Blocks There’s a bullish order block sitting right around $207–$210 that hasn’t been fully mitigated. If the market wants a discount, that’s the obvious landing spot. Deeper demand lives at $140–$156, serving as the long-term institutional accumulation range. Supply overhead begins in the $290–$300 band. That’s where short sellers tend to get aggressive and profit-takers defend levels. 3. Indicator Confluence The 9EMA above 21EMA with strong slope confirms trend continuation. MACD histogram is showing large green bars — buyers still have authority. Stoch RSI is elevated but cycling with price, not diverging. Volume expansion during push candles suggests trend confirmation, not exhaustion… yet. 4. Weekly Tone Momentum is stretched, but dips continue to get bought. If the market pulls back into the mid-trendline, that will be a high-confluence area for continuation traders. DAILY TIMEFRAME ANALYSIS 1. Market Structure Daily candles show an extended channel grind higher. Friday printed a pullback wick from upper channel resistance — exactly where you’d expect algo sell programs to fire. Key structure levels:
• $256 support (micro trendline convergence)
• $235 for deeper liquidity sweeps A breakdown below $256 would telegraph distribution before continuation. 2. Supply & Demand / Order Blocks Demand clusters:
• $256–$258 (first bounce zone)
• $235–$238 (secondary re-load if volatility spikes) Supply clusters:
• $281–$286 (multiple rejections)
• $298–$300 psychological wall Breaking $286 with volume opens the window to run trapped shorts quickly. 3. Indicator Confluence The 9EMA is still above the 21EMA, but slope is flattening — early caution sign. MACD histogram is stabilizing after a strong push. Stoch RSI remains high but hasn’t crossed down yet — bulls still in control. Volume is softening; expect mean reversion behavior early week. 4. Daily Tone As long as GOOGL respects the mid-channel, dips are buyable. Lose the channel and we’ll rotate into liquidity pockets below $260. 15-MINUTE INTRADAY STRUCTURE 1. Market Structure The 15m printed a CHoCH → BOS sequence after liquidity was swept at $277.04. Price then consolidated in a wedge under micro resistance — typical pre-break setup. However, lack of continuation into close suggests market makers are waiting until liquidity opens Monday. 2. Supply & Demand / Order Blocks Demand intraday:
• $278.20–$279.20 (first bounce pocket)
• $277.00–$277.50 (deeper wicks) Supply intraday:
• $283.00–$286.05 (active sell wall)
• $289.50 liquidity shelf on upside rejection Breakout above $283 will trap short scalpers. 3. Indicator Confluence 9EMA curling toward 21EMA, signaling potential early session squeeze. MACD histogram is flattening — momentum coiling. Stoch RSI is curling up from lower band — bullish inflection signal. 4. Intraday Tone Expect fakeout volatility first 30 minutes. If micro trendline breaks with volume confirmation, watch for a push into $283+, possibly wicking into $286. GEX (Gamma Exposure) & OPTIONS SENTIMENT Call walls stack at:
• $297.5
• $300
Strong gamma magnets if price enters that zone. The highest positive NET GEX sits around $280.75 —
this is why price keeps orbiting here. Dealers hedge around this level to reduce risk. Put support sits at:
• $275
• $265 Break below $275 and gamma flips accelerate downside. High volatility pivot event: 11/07
Expect volume shifts into that date. Strategy alignment:
• Above $283 → call scalps into $286–$290
• Below $277 → puts toward $275–$270
• Between $278–$281 → premium chopping zone — avoid directional bias TRADE SCENARIOS (Nov. 3–7) ✅ Bullish Setup Trigger: Hold above $283 and break wedge resistance
Entry: Retest $282.70–$283.10
Targets: $286.00 → $289.50 → $297.50 (call wall magnet)
Stop: Below $281.20 Invalidation: breakdown of intraday trendline support. ✅ Bearish Setup Trigger: Breakdown below $277** with confirmation**
Entry: Retest $277–$277.30
Targets: $275 → $270 liquidity sweep
Stop: Above $278.80 Invalidation: strong buy reaction + MACD shift at $277 pocket. CLOSING OUTLOOK GOOGL is stretched but not exhausted. As long as bulls defend $278–$281 early week, continuation trades remain valid. However — if we reject $283 repeatedly with declining volume, look for a controlled pullback into trendline support around $256 later in the week. Personally, I’m watching for quiet Monday accumulation under wedge resistance — that often precedes a mid-week expansion when volatility event catalysts arrive. DISCLAIMER This analysis is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. Always manage your risk and trade your own plan.
2:19 AM · Nov 3, 2025
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0
sdk-trading
Is Google Entering Distribution? (GOOG, GOOGL Analysis)
⚡ Is Google Entering Distribution? (GOOG, GOOGL Analysis) 📅 October 2025 — by Dennis York ⚡ Overview Recently, the charts of all major tech giants — Apple, Amazon, Google, Meta, and Microsoft — have started to look almost identical. Each of them seems to be either topping out or entering what looks like a distribution phase. In this post, I’ll share my technical and fundamental outlook on Google (GOOG, GOOGL), along with the key risks and price zones I’m watching as a trader. 💡 Fundamental View From a fundamental perspective, Google still looks strong: The P/E ratio has been growing steadily. Revenue continues to rise. The company has been aggressively buying back shares for years. So fundamentally, this is not a bubble. By Peter Lynch’s fair value formula, Google remains fairly valued, maybe even with a modest upside left. However, strong fundamentals don’t always mean big growth ahead — especially when the market has already priced in perfection. And that’s typically when the distribution phase begins. 📈 Technical View According to Elliott Wave Theory, Google seems to be completing the fifth sub-wave within a larger third wave — a structure that often marks the final stage before a distribution or correction phase. On the long-term chart, price is now approaching the upper boundary of the rising channel, with limited upside potential — possibly up to $430–$450, which represents the top zone. Beyond that, the probability of continued growth drops sharply, while correction risk increases significantly. ⚙️ Market Structure When analyzing the volume profile, the largest accumulation zone sits around $150–$200 — that’s where long-term investors entered 5–10 years ago. Those early buyers are now sitting on massive unrealized profits, and many are gradually distributing (selling) positions into current strength. Meanwhile, retail traders often see the ongoing move as “more upside ahead.” But in reality, this could be the final buying climax before a deeper correction. 🧭 Key Levels to Watch ZoneMeaning $430–$450Potential final target zone / top area $250–$400Expected sideways “distribution” range $150–$200Historical accumulation zone $100Potential long-term correction target if cycle fully unwinds At the time of writing, GOOG trades near $270 — a key decision zone where the stock may either push slightly higher (toward $300–$400) or begin its corrective phase. 🧩 Cycle Context Interestingly, the same pattern is visible across Apple, Meta, Amazon, and Microsoft. It’s not just about one stock — the entire Big Tech segment appears to be entering a similar maturity stage of the cycle. That’s why I believe Google could soon transition from markup to distribution, followed by a potential multi-quarter sideways or corrective phase. ⚠️ Bottom Line ✅ Fundamentals: Still strong ⚡ Bubble: No 📉 Technical setup: Late-cycle / distribution risk high The upside from here looks limited, while correction risk is significant. If you’re trading or investing in Google, stay cautious, always use stops, and be ready to adjust your strategy once distribution confirms. 📊 Summary Price now: $270 Potential top: $400–$450 Risk zone: $100–$150 Cycle: Late-stage third wave / entering distribution 💬 What’s your take? Do you think
3:01 AM · Oct 30, 2025
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Khairil_Anuar
moomoo
Alphabet Is Up 90% Since April. Here's What Its Chart Says
Google parent Alphabet NASDAQ:GOOG NASDAQ:GOOGL is set to report Q3 results this week at a time when the tech giant's stock is trading at or near all-time highs and has risen some 90% since its April lows. The stock has beaten the S&P 500 SP:SPX in virtually every time period from the past one month to the previous five years. What does its chart and fundamental analysis say? Let's see: Alphabet's Fundamental Analysis GOOGL plans to release quarterly numbers after the closing bell on Wednesday, with the Street expecting the firm to report $2.28 of GAAP earnings per share on slightly more than $100 billion of revenue. If correct, those numbers would compare well with Alphabet's year-ago comps, with GAAP EPS rising 7.5% from Q3 2024's $2.12 and revenue gaining about 13.4% from the $88.3 billion GOOGL that reported 12 months earlier. Revenue growth like that would be in line with Alphabet's sales trends for years now. In fact, 28 of the 49 sell-side analysts that I know of that cover GOOGL have revised their earnings estimates higher since the period started. (Fourteen lowered their forecasts and seven have left their numbers unchanged.) Alphabet's Technical Analysis Next, let's look at GOOGL's chart going back some 11 months and running through Friday afternoon: Readers will first note the large, well-defined cup-with-handle pattern that stretched from late January into August, marked with a purple curving line at the chart's center. That pattern provided GOOGL with a breakout in early September from a $106 pivot. However, Alphabet hit resistance by late September and spent about a month developing a bull-flag pattern of bullish continuance, marked with two purple diagonal lines and a purple box at the chart's right. This flag has a $256 pivot, which GOOGL broke through in recent days. (The stock closed $269.24 on Monday after hitting a $270.06 all-time intraday high.) Should Alphabet manage to hold that pivot, then many analysts likely would adjust their price targets considerably higher. But should the pivot fail, GOOGL would next look to its moving averages for support. The swing crowd would likely come into play at the stock's 21-day Exponential Moving Average (or "EMA," marked with a green line). Meanwhile, portfolio managers would be down around the 50-day Simple Moving Average (or "SMA," marked with a blue line at $236.60 in the chart above) if not forced to chase on momentum. Looking at the Alphabet's secondary technical indicators, the stock's Relative Strength Index (the gray line at the chart's top) is quite robust, but not yet in a technically overbought state. At the same time, Alphabet's daily Moving Average Convergence Divergence indicator (or "MACD," marked with black and gold lines and blue bars at the chart's bottom), looks like it might be trying to take on a more bullish posture. The histogram of the 9-day EMA (the blue bars) has just moved back into positive territory. That's short-term bullish. Similarly, the 12-day EMA (the black line) has just crossed above the 26-day EMA (the gold line), with both lines above the zero-bound. That, too, is a short- to medium-term bullish technical signal. An Options Option Investors exploring options strategies might consider evaluating a "bull-call spread," depending on their market outlook. That's where you buy one call and sell a second one with a higher strike price and the same expiration date. Here's an example: -- Buy one GOOGL $262.50 call with an Oct. 31 expiration (i.e., after the earnings come out). This costs about $8.45 at recent prices. -- Sell (write) one Oct. 31 GOOGL $282.50 call for roughly $2.30. Net debit: $6.15 The options trader in this example is risking $6.15 to try to make $13.85, for a 225% maximum profit. If said trader is also interested in taking on equity risk at a discount, the person could also add a put to the above trade. Example: -- Sell (write) one Oct. 31 GOOGL $252.50 put for about $5. This would reduce the trader's net debit to $1.15. While this greatly enhances the spread's potential profitability, the trader is exposed to possibly having to purchase 100 GOOGL shares at expiration at $253.65 net basis at a time when the stock would be trading below $252.50. The maximum theoretical gain would increase to $18.85 x 100 (options multiplier) for a total of $1,885. The maximum theoretical loss would also increase substantially to $25,365, as although unlikely, the stock could potentially fall to zero. (Moomoo Technologies Inc. Markets Commentator Stephen "Sarge" Guilfoyle was long GOOGL at the time of writing this column.) This article discusses technical analysis, other approaches, including fundamental analysis, may offer very different views. The examples provided are for illustrative purposes only and are not intended to be reflective of the results you can expect to achieve. Specific security charts used are for illustrative purposes only and are not a recommendation, offer to sell, or a solicitation of an offer to buy any security. Past investment performance does not indicate or guarantee future success. Returns will vary, and all investments carry risks, including loss of principal. This content is also not a research report and is not intended to serve as the basis for any investment decision. The information contained in this article does not purport to be a complete description of the securities, markets, or developments referred to in this material. Moomoo and its affiliates make no representation or warranty as to the article's adequacy, completeness, accuracy or timeliness for any particular purpose of the above content. Furthermore, there is no guarantee that any statements, estimates, price targets, opinions or forecasts provided herein will prove to be correct. Options trading is risky and not appropriate for everyone. Read the Options Disclosure Document ( j.moomoo.com ) before trading. Options are complex and you may quickly lose the entire investment. Supporting docs for any claims will be furnished upon request. Options trading subject to eligibility requirements. Strategies available will depend on options level approved. Maximum potential loss and profit for options are calculated based on the single leg or an entire multi-leg trade remaining intact until expiration with no option contracts being exercised or assigned. These figures do not account for a portion of a multi-leg strategy being changed or removed or the trader assuming a short or long position in the underlying stock at or before expiration. Therefore, it is possible to lose more than the theoretical max loss of a strategy. 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3:36 PM · Oct 28, 2025
0
1
BullBearInsights
GOOGL Weekly Outlook (Oct 28–31)
GOOGL Weekly Outlook (Oct 28–31): “Google Reclaims the Trend — Can It Hold Above $270?” 🔍 1. Weekly (1W) Structure – Macro Strength Reaffirmed Alphabet’s weekly structure shows a textbook bullish continuation following a confirmed Break of Structure (BOS) above $207. After a brief Change of Character (CHoCH) pullback toward the $145–$150 demand zone, GOOGL reaccelerated upward, reclaiming control of the ascending channel. The move toward $270 marks a decisive momentum comeback with potential to stretch toward $285–$290 if buyers sustain pressure. * Bias: Bullish continuation * Support: $207 → $254 * Resistance: $270 → $285 * MACD: Clean bullish expansion — momentum firmly in buyer hands. * Stochastic RSI: Hovering near overbought, but trending, not topping — indicative of sustained buying momentum. 💡 Weekly Thought:
As long as GOOGL stays above $254, the broader uptrend remains intact. Macro structure suggests strength continuation into November unless a deep profit-taking correction forms below $250. 2. Daily (1D) – Reclaiming Momentum Zone Daily chart confirms multiple BOS and CHoCH rotations forming a staircase pattern of higher lows and higher highs. The breakout above $260 confirms a new impulse leg inside the mid-channel zone. Buyers reclaimed $256–$259, an area that previously acted as supply — now flipped into a solid demand base. * Bias: Bullish trend continuation * Support: $256 → $240 * Resistance: $270 → $280 * Indicators: * MACD rebounded into positive territory — bullish crossover confirmed. * Stochastic RSI climbing from midrange — confirming short-term buying pressure. 💭 Daily Suggestion:
Buyers can look for dip entries near $262–$264 early week. A sustained close above $270 may trigger acceleration toward $280–$285 as gamma and volume momentum expand. 3. 1-Hour (1H) – Intraday Precision Map GOOGL’s 1-hour chart shows near-perfect alignment with higher timeframes. A clean BOS structure sequence forms above $259 and $265, with the price consolidating near $270 — a key resistance-turned-potential breakout pivot. The current slope of the ascending trendline supports a healthy, controlled climb. * Scalp Bias: Bullish above $262 * Resistance: $272 → $280 * Support: $259 → $249 * Setup Idea: * Call scalp: Above $270 breakout; target $275–$280. * Put scalp: Only if price falls below $259 with volume, target $250. 📈 1H Thought:
Intraday traders should monitor price behavior at $270 — this zone is both a psychological and gamma-based resistance. A breakout with strong volume could ignite an extended move to $280 quickly. 4. GEX & Options Sentiment – Institutional Positioning Gamma Exposure (GEX) reveals a strong call-dominant structure, with layered resistance near $270–$280 — key short-term gamma magnets. * Highest positive GEX / resistance: $270 → $275 → $280 * Support (put walls): $250 → $242 → $235 * Call bias: +35.8% (bullish skew) * IVR: 46.6 (moderately elevated) * IVx avg: 49.8 (slightly declining → supportive of upside expansion) Institutions appear positioned to defend $255–$260, while higher strikes near $275 are drawing increasing call exposure. Gamma compression could trigger a grind higher if $270 holds. 5. Suggested Option Plays * Bullish Setup (Preferred): * Buy-to-open 270C–275C (1DTE/2DTE) on confirmed hold above $270. * Target: $280 * Stop: Below $259 * Reason: Strong structural breakout confluence with call gamma reinforcement. * Bearish Hedge (Cautious): * Buy 250P (1DTE/2DTE) only if breakdown below $259 with volume confirmation. * Target: $242 * Stop: Above $265 GOOGL is showing a consistent bullish structure across all timeframes — higher lows, continued BOS patterns, and strong gamma buildup supporting continuation. Price action above $270 can trigger a swift advance toward $280 before potential consolidation. 🎯 Primary Bias: Bullish toward $280–$285
⚠️ Watch For: Failure to hold $259 = momentum loss or short-term correction signal. This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and manage your risk before trading.
4:25 AM · Oct 28, 2025
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