The Setup: Advanced Micro Devices ( NASDAQ:AMD ) is presenting a compelling long-term trade opportunity. The stock has been building a solid 6-month base and is actively jumping within a 25% box . We have seen 2 failed breakouts so far , but the more breakout tries the better, as it consistently weakens overhead resistance. On the higher timeframes, there is a strong monthly signal : the RSI on the monthly chart is testing both an RSI crossover and the 60 level, which is a highly bullish momentum indicator. The strategy here is to look to build a position , but wait for a full position until it formally jumps out of its box . Tip: Use the NASDAQ:AMDL ETF for 2x leveraged exposure. Reasoning: 6-Month Base (Consolidating within a 25% box) Multiple breakout attempts (Weakening overhead resistance) Strong Monthly Signal (RSI testing crossover and the 60 level) Scale-in strategy (Build early, fill position on the box breakout) Leverage Option: NASDAQ:AMDL (2x ETF)

AMD looks like it’s setting up for a potential breakout after an extended period of consolidation. Price has been chopping between roughly $211 and $219, with $219 acting as a clear key resistance level that has been tested multiple times but not yet confirmed as support. If AMD can break above $219 and hold that level, I’m watching for continuation toward the next upside targets around $227 and potentially $231. Those levels line up well with prior resistance zones and fib retracement areas. The main idea here is a breakout → confirmation → continuation setup. I’m not interested in chasing the breakout itself, but rather seeing a clean move above $219 followed by a hold or retest that confirms it as support. If that confirmation comes in, this could present a strong long opportunity with momentum building out of this range.

Bearish sentiment, HTF rejection and lower time frame confirmation. Already out of my 1:2 RR target and just leaving runners.

//@version=5 strategy("Candle Range Theory (CRT) Strategy", overlay=true, margin_long=100, margin_short=100, default_qty_type=strategy.percent_of_equity, default_qty_value=10) // ───────────────────────────────────────── // INPUTS // ───────────────────────────────────────── grp1 = "CRT Settings" refCandle = input.int(1, "Reference Candle Lookback", minval=1, maxval=5, group=grp1) fvgMultiplier = input.float(0.5, "FVG Min Size (% of candle)", minval=0.1, maxval=2.0, step=0.1, group=grp1) sweepBuffer = input.float(0.1, "Sweep Buffer (ticks)", minval=0.0, maxval=5.0, step=0.1, group=grp1) grp2 = "Trade Management" slMultiplier = input.float(1.5, "Stop Loss Multiplier (ATR)", minval=0.5, maxval=5.0, step=0.1, group=grp2) tpRatio = input.float(2.0, "Take Profit RR Ratio", minval=1.0, maxval=10.0, step=0.5, group=grp2) useTrailStop = input.bool(false, "Use Trailing Stop", group=grp2) trailPercent = input.float(1.0, "Trail Stop %", minval=0.1, maxval=5.0, step=0.1, group=grp2) grp3 = "Filters" useEMA = input.bool(true, "Use EMA Trend Filter", group=grp3) emaLen = input.int(200, "EMA Length", minval=10, maxval=500, group=grp3) useSession = input.bool(false, "Use Session Filter", group=grp3) sessionTime = input.session("0700-1600", "Allowed Session (Exchange Time)", group=grp3) grp4 = "Display" showRefBox = input.bool(true, "Show Reference Candle Box", group=grp4) showFVG = input.bool(true, "Show Fair Value Gaps", group=grp4) showLabels = input.bool(true, "Show Entry Labels", group=grp4) // ───────────────────────────────────────── // CALCULATIONS // ───────────────────────────────────────── atr = ta.atr(14) ema200 = ta.ema(close, emaLen) trendUp = close > ema200 trendDown = close < ema200 // Session filter inSession = useSession ? not na(time(timeframe.period, sessionTime)) : true // Reference candle range (N bars ago) refHigh = high refLow = low refBody = math.abs(close - open ) // Sweep detection (manipulation candle = current bar) bufTicks = sweepBuffer * syminfo.mintick bullishSweep = low < refLow - bufTicks // Swept below reference low → bullish reversal bearishSweep = high > refHigh + bufTicks // Swept above reference high → bearish reversal // Reversal confirmation: price closes BACK inside reference range bullishConf = bullishSweep and close > refLow and close < refHigh bearishConf = bearishSweep and close < refHigh and close > refLow // ───────────────────────────────────────── // FAIR VALUE GAP DETECTION // ───────────────────────────────────────── // Bullish FVG: gap between high and low (current) fvgBullHigh = high fvgBullLow = low bullFVG = low > high and (low - high ) > (atr * fvgMultiplier * 0.1) // Bearish FVG: gap between low and high fvgBearLow = low fvgBearHigh = high bearFVG = high < low and (low - high) > (atr * fvgMultiplier * 0.1) // ───────────────────────────────────────── // ENTRY CONDITIONS // ───────────────────────────────────────── longCondition = bullishConf and (not useEMA or trendUp) and inSession and strategy.position_size == 0 shortCondition = bearishConf and (not useEMA or trendDown) and inSession and strategy.position_size == 0 // ───────────────────────────────────────── // STOP LOSS & TAKE PROFIT // ───────────────────────────────────────── longSL = low - (atr * slMultiplier) longTP = close + ((close - longSL) * tpRatio) shortSL = high + (atr * slMultiplier) shortTP = close - ((shortSL - close) * tpRatio) // ───────────────────────────────────────── // STRATEGY EXECUTION // ───────────────────────────────────────── if longCondition strategy.entry("Long", strategy.long) strategy.exit("Long Exit", "Long", stop = longSL, limit = longTP, trail_percent = useTrailStop ? trailPercent : na) if shortCondition strategy.entry("Short", strategy.short) strategy.exit("Short Exit", "Short", stop = shortSL, limit = shortTP, trail_percent = useTrailStop ? trailPercent : na) // ───────────────────────────────────────── // VISUALS — Reference Candle Box // ───────────────────────────────────────── var box refBox = na if showRefBox and barstate.islast box.delete(refBox) refBox := box.new( bar_index , refHigh, bar_index, refLow, border_color=color.new(color.gray, 30), bgcolor=color.new(color.gray, 85), border_width=1) // ───────────────────────────────────────── // VISUALS — EMA // ───────────────────────────────────────── plot(useEMA ? ema200 : na, "EMA Filter", color=color.new(color.orange, 0), linewidth=2) // ───────────────────────────────────────── // VISUALS — Sweep Wicks // ───────────────────────────────────────── plotshape(bullishSweep and not bullishConf, title="Bullish Sweep", style=shape.triangledown, location=location.belowbar, color=color.new(color.red, 40), size=size.tiny) plotshape(bearishSweep and not bearishConf, title="Bearish Sweep", style=shape.triangleup, location=location.abovebar, color=color.new(color.red, 40), size=size.tiny) // ───────────────────────────────────────── // VISUALS — Entry Signals // ───────────────────────────────────────── plotshape(longCondition and showLabels, title="Long Entry", style=shape.labelup, location=location.belowbar, color=color.new(color.teal, 0), textcolor=color.white, text="CRT\nLong", size=size.small) plotshape(shortCondition and showLabels, title="Short Entry", style=shape.labeldown, location=location.abovebar, color=color.new(color.red, 0), textcolor=color.white, text="CRT\nShort", size=size.small) // ───────────────────────────────────────── // VISUALS — SL/TP Lines on Entry // ───────────────────────────────────────── var line slLine = na var line tpLine = na if longCondition line.delete(slLine) line.delete(tpLine) slLine := line.new(bar_index, longSL, bar_index + 10, longSL, color=color.red, width=1, style=line.style_dashed) tpLine := line.new(bar_index, longTP, bar_index + 10, longTP, color=color.green, width=1, style=line.style_dashed) if shortCondition line.delete(slLine) line.delete(tpLine) slLine := line.new(bar_index, shortSL, bar_index + 10, shortSL, color=color.red, width=1, style=line.style_dashed) tpLine := line.new(bar_index, shortTP, bar_index + 10, shortTP, color=color.green, width=1, style=line.style_dashed) // ───────────────────────────────────────── // VISUALS — Fair Value Gaps (background) // ───────────────────────────────────────── bgcolor(showFVG and bullFVG ? color.new(color.teal, 90) : na, title="Bullish FVG") bgcolor(showFVG and bearFVG ? color.new(color.red, 90) : na, title="Bearish FVG") // ───────────────────────────────────────── // INFO TABLE // ───────────────────────────────────────── var table infoTable = table.new(position.top_right, 2, 6, border_color=color.gray, border_width=1, bgcolor=color.new(color.black, 80)) if barstate.islast table.cell(infoTable, 0, 0, "CRT Strategy", text_color=color.white, text_size=size.small, bgcolor=color.new(color.blue, 60)) table.cell(infoTable, 1, 0, "", text_color=color.white, text_size=size.small, bgcolor=color.new(color.blue, 60)) table.cell(infoTable, 0, 1, "EMA Filter", text_color=color.silver, text_size=size.small) table.cell(infoTable, 1, 1, useEMA ? str.tostring(emaLen) + " ON" : "OFF", text_color=useEMA ? color.green : color.gray, text_size=size.small) table.cell(infoTable, 0, 2, "Trend", text_color=color.silver, text_size=size.small) table.cell(infoTable, 1, 2, trendUp ? "Bullish ▲" : "Bearish ▼", text_color=trendUp ? color.teal : color.red, text_size=size.small) table.cell(infoTable, 0, 3, "ATR(14)", text_color=color.silver, text_size=size.small) table.cell(infoTable, 1, 3, str.tostring(math.round(atr, 5)), text_color=color.white, text_size=size.small) table.cell(infoTable, 0, 4, "TP Ratio", text_color=color.silver, text_size=size.small) table.cell(infoTable, 1, 4, str.tostring(tpRatio) + "R", text_color=color.white, text_size=size.small) table.cell(infoTable, 0, 5, "Session Filter", text_color=color.silver, text_size=size.small) table.cell(infoTable, 1, 5, useSession ? "ON" : "OFF", text_color=useSession ? color.green : color.gray, text_size=size.small)

- T.A explained - Range = two or more consecutive color candles. DISTRIBUTION RANGES DEFINED: BackSide (BS) Candle - First distribution candle in a distribution range. Expectation = strong reaction to price. long wicks reaching to or away from level. FrontSide (FS) Candle - Last distribution candle in a distribution range. Expectation = reversal, create a trend in the opposite direction. Distribution candles are used as support. ACCUMULATION RANGES DEFINED: Inverse BS (Inv.BS) - First Accumulation candle in an accumulation range. Expectation. = strong reaction to price. long wicks reaching to or away from level. Inverse FS (Inv.FS) - Last accumulation candle in an accumulation range. Expectation = reversal, create a trend in the opposite direction. Accumulation candles are used as resistance. Horizontal Ray tool on BS & FS levels are default support levels when dashed lines, tested when dotted lines and resistance when solid lines. Horizontal Ray tool on Inverse BS & Inverse FS levels default as resistance and shown with a dashed line, tested when 1x dotted line, and support when solid line. The inverse is true for the Inv. BS Inv. FS levels, they are resistance as dashed lines, tested as dotted and support as solid lines. Monthly timeframe is color pink weekly grey daily is red 4hr is orange 1hr is yellow 15min is blue 5min is green if they are shown. strength favors the higher timeframe.

The price is currently trading below a strong resistance zone around 221–225, where multiple rejections have occurred. This confirms the presence of heavy selling pressure and lack of bullish strength to break higher. Structurally, the market is forming a lower high after failing to reclaim previous highs near 267, which reinforces a bearish market structure on the higher timeframe. The recent move upward appears to be a retracement into resistance, not a continuation. Price is also consolidating just above the 201 support level, which is a critical area. A breakdown below this level would likely trigger strong downside momentum. Key bearish signals: Repeated rejection from resistance (221 zone) Weak bullish follow-through Compression near support → potential breakdown Clear lower high formation Expected scenario: Breakdown below 201 Move toward 193 → 180 zone Extended drop targeting the 148 demand area Invalidation: A strong breakout and sustained close above 225 would invalidate the bearish bias and shift momentum back to bullish.

The Setup: Advanced Micro Devices ( NASDAQ:AMD ) is mirroring the weakness of its peers in a weakening semiconductor sector . Like ALAB, it is struggling under a falling 10MA on the monthly chart. On the daily timeframe, the stock attempted a cheat after a breakout but subsequently filled a gap up , erasing all previous institutional momentum. It has now decisively failed at a falling 50MA on the daily chart. This rejection in a bad market environment solidifies its status as a high-probability short. Reasoning: Under falling 10MA Monthly (Heavy long-term resistance) Failed at falling 50MA daily (Hard rejection at dynamic resistance) Filled gap up (Total loss of institutional buying pressure) Cheat after a breakout failure (Bull trap catching early buyers) Weakening sector & bad market (Aligning macro headwinds)

Advanced Micro Devices Inc. (AMD) achieved an all‑time high of $267.08 on 29 October 2025. Following this peak, the stock began a larger degree pullback that unfolded in a classic three‑swing zigzag Elliott Wave structure. From the October high, wave ((A)) concluded at $194.28, while wave ((B)) retraced upward to $266.96. The final leg, wave ((C)), moved lower and ended at $185.18, as illustrated on the one‑hour chart. This sequence completed wave II at a higher degree, marking the end of the corrective phase. The corrective nature of the pullback was evident, consisting of three distinct swings. Importantly, the decline terminated within the 100% to 161.8% Fibonacci extension of wave ((A)), a common zone for corrective completions. Since the third leg did not extend to the full 161.8% level, the implication is that the broader market bias remains bullish. From the wave II low, AMD initiated a fresh impulsive advance. Wave 1 reached $209.21, followed by a modest pullback in wave 2 that ended at $192.27. The next target lies near the 161.8% Fibonacci extension of wave 1 at $230. A sustained move toward this level would strengthen the case that the rally from $185.18 represents wave 3 of a developing impulse. In the near term, as long as the pivot at $185.18 holds, expectations favor continued upside. The structure suggests that AMD has completed its correction and is positioned for further gains, reinforcing the bullish outlook.

🔶 AMD – Breakout Attempt Toward 220 Call Wall in a Strong Sector Move 🔶 AMD is currently showing strong momentum as the entire semiconductor sector pushes higher, supported by positive headlines and continued strength in NVDA. Price is breaking out aggressively and now approaching a key options-driven level. The most important level in focus is: 👉 220 – highest call GEX level This level acts as a major upside reference. A clean break above 220 would push price into a positive gamma extension zone. 🔶 Structure Context 🔶 Price is holding well above 200 EMA, maintaining strong upside structure Momentum is driven by sector-wide strength, not just isolated flow The move higher is aligned with broader bullish positioning.

This is a bit complex structure. My big vision for AMD, is that, the current price would yet to complete the phase B. And now looking for the phase C . **Red Arrow pointing the starting point of Bigger Trading Range (Buying climax) and logically, it might form an Atypical Reaccmulation Schematic #2 . It isnt common for me to initiate position around transitioning phase B -> C . Given the spring setup, position initated as attached. Might be adding more if price Pullback from here & BO. For the Volumes, nothing much to be commented about.