First price taget reached ast Friday. Sold $340 contracts cool down going into earnings $400 pt 3rd Q. Looking for a re entry around $290 before 2Q earnings

The stock is expected to rise over the next 122 days, Expected increase of 46%

Heading into Monday's session, AMD is sitting at 348.90 in premarket — right in the teeth of a significant gamma wall and carrying a 10.32% gap from Friday's prior day close of 305.24. That is not a typo. Friday's session opened at 336.76, tore through its opening range high, and closed the session well above VWAP at 346.02. The 9 EMA and 20 EMA are coiled just under current price at 348.98 and 348.74 respectively. Monday's open is going to feel the weight of that 350 call wall immediately. Positive GEX regime, gap-and-hold or gap-and-fade setup — this is not a morning to autopilot. The framework for Monday is mean reversion respect. We're not in a trending regime, and the GEX walls are going to matter more than usual. Trade the levels, not the momentum. --- ## 1. Session Context — Where We Left Off Friday's session left AMD with an enormous footprint. The gap up from Thursday's prior day close of 305.24 to Friday's open of 336.76 was 10.32% — a massive move that established a wide range (session low 334.54, session high 352.99) and closed the session with price above VWAP at 346.02 and above the opening range high of 347.96. Bias was bullish into the close: price above VWAP, price above OR-H, both short-term EMAs just under current premarket price. The initial balance high from Friday sits at 349.55. Friday's premarket range was 326.30 to 346.50. Current premarket price at 348.90 is above all of that structure — above VWAP, above OR-H, above IB-H, above the prior day premarket high. The 9 EMA at 348.98 and 20 EMA at 348.74 are essentially on top of price right now, meaning there's no EMA cushion — price is threading the needle at Monday's open. The prior day levels (Thursday's session) — high 310.22, low 299.76, close 305.24 — are well below current price and outside the ±10% range that matters for intraday work. They're not relevant for Monday's setups. One note: the atrIntra reading is 0.24. That is an unusually compressed intraday ATR figure relative to the range Friday produced. Treat intraday range estimates with that caveat — the options-implied structure through the GEX walls is likely more informative than the ATR for Monday. --- ## 2. GEX (Gamma Exposure) — Positive GEX Regime, Wall Compression Ahead Total GEX for AMD comes in at +22,606,049, a firmly positive reading. There is no zero gamma flip level available in the current data, so we lean on the regime classification directly: positive GEX, mean-reverting environment. Dealers are long GEX, which means they hedge by selling into strength and buying into weakness — mechanically, that suppresses range and penalizes momentum chasers. The call wall sits at 350. With 84.131 in call GEX OI concentration at that strike, it is the dominant level in the structure by a wide margin. Current premarket price at 348.90 is sitting just 1.10 points below it. That proximity matters — opening right under a call wall in a positive GEX regime is a compression setup. Rallies into 350 will be met with dealer selling pressure. Clean breaks above it are possible but require real sustained buying to overcome that GEX concentration. The put wall sits at 295, with 17.325 in put GEX OI concentration. That is well below current price — more than 15% lower — and functions as the structural floor for the options framework, not a same-session target. For Monday's intraday work, the relevant GEX-defined range is the 350 call wall on top and the 330 area (where call GEX concentration from Friday's structure begins stepping down) as a reference below. Bottom line on GEX for Monday: don't chase a breakout above 350 without a clean hold and confirmation. Mean reversion from that wall is the higher-probability path in this regime. --- ## 3. Key Intraday Levels **Above price (348.90):** * 348.98 — 9 EMA, immediate overhead resistance / EMA confluence * 349.55 — Initial balance high from Friday, first breakout trigger * 350.00 — Call wall (84.131 call GEX OI), dominant gamma resistance for Monday **Below price (348.90):** * 348.74 — 20 EMA, first dynamic support just under current price * 347.96 — Friday opening range high, now structural support * 346.50 — Friday premarket high, secondary support reference * 346.02 — Friday VWAP, key intraday pivot if selling develops * 334.54 — Friday session low / opening range low, lower structure floor --- ## 4. Scalp Setups to Watch at the Open **Long scalp — IB-H breakout and hold.** If AMD opens above the 9 EMA (348.98) and the initial balance high at 349.55, and then prints a green 5-minute close above 349.55 in the first 15-30 minutes, that is the trigger to consider a long. Entry: 349.65, on confirmed 5-minute close above the IB-H. Stop: 348.70 (below 20 EMA and OR-H cluster — if price falls back below both, the breakout has failed). Target 1: 350.00 (call wall) — take partial here, this is the primary GEX ceiling. Target 2: trail the remainder with a stop at 349.55 if 350 is taken out cleanly on volume. R:R: approximately 1:0.4 to T1 (tight target given proximity to entry), wider if 350 breaks and holds. Skip this trade if: price opens below 348.74 (20 EMA), the first 5-minute bar is a wide red candle, or the open prints directly at or above 350 with no pullback — chasing the call wall in a positive GEX regime is low-probability. **Short scalp — VWAP breakdown and fail.** If AMD opens and then rolls over, losing the OR-H at 347.96 on a clean 5-minute close below it, watch for a continuation toward VWAP. Entry on a retest and rejection of 347.96 from below. Entry: 347.80, short on the failed retest of OR-H acting as resistance. Stop: 348.50 (back inside OR-H and above the 20 EMA — setup is invalidated if buyers reclaim structure). Target 1: 346.50 (Friday premarket high). Target 2: 346.02 (Friday VWAP) — the natural mean-reversion magnet in a positive GEX environment. R:R: approximately 1:0.9 to T1, 1:2.6 to T2 from entry. Take partial at T1, trail to T2. Skip this trade if: AMD gaps up above 350 at the open and holds — at that point the call wall has been cleared and the short setup loses its structural basis. Also skip if price never loses 347.96 in the first 30 minutes. --- ## 5. Risk Levels — Where the Framework Breaks With no zero gamma flip level available, the regime read depends on the overall positive GEX total holding. The structural risk level to watch is VWAP at 346.02. If AMD sells off and closes a 5-minute bar below VWAP early in the session, it shifts the intraday character from mean-reverting to potentially directional — reassess setups accordingly and do not force fades. Below the OR-H at 347.96 is a yellow flag. Below VWAP at 346.02 is a red flag. Below the Friday session low at 334.54 would represent a full breakdown of Friday's structure — at that point the GEX framework for this session has broken and we wait for new levels to establish. On the upside, a clean 5-minute close above 350 on volume would challenge the call wall suppression thesis. If that happens, the long scalp trail becomes viable and the short fade setup is off the table until price returns below 350. --- ## Bottom Line AMD opens Monday sitting 1.10 points below the dominant call wall in a positive GEX regime — the setup favors compression and potential mean reversion back toward VWAP more than a clean breakout. Watch the 350 call wall and the OR-H at 347.96 as the two pivots that define Monday's early direction. No hype. No bias. Just levels. Trade safe. Plan ahead. Win together.

With Advanced Micro Devices Inc. (AMD) now reaching the upper boundary of a well-respected long-term channel, we believe this is an appropriate point to take profits. Several technical signals are aligning, suggesting that upside may be limited in the near term while downside risk is increasing. First, price has extended above the upper Bollinger Band, which often behaves like an elastic band, when stretched too far, it tends to revert back toward the mean (the basis). This kind of extension typically indicates short-term overextension rather than sustainable momentum. Second, RSI is firmly in overbought territory, reinforcing the idea that the recent move may be overheated. AMD has experienced a rapid surge over the past few weeks, which further increases the probability of a pullback or consolidation phase. From a risk-reward perspective, we now see greater downside risk than upside potential at current levels. While the long-term fundamentals and structural story for AMD remain strong, the current technical positioning suggests that capital may be better allocated elsewhere in the short term. Additionally, the recent boost in sentiment driven by developments around Intel provides a favorable liquidity window to exit positions, particularly in the pre-market. We therefore view this as a strategic exit point, with the intention of potentially re-entering after a meaningful correction. Based on current structure, such a pullback could target the lower region of the channel, approximately around the level highlighted by the orange circle. Not financial advice. Technical analysis does not guarantee future performance. If you enjoyed reading our idea please support by boosting and follow to not miss any future publishes we may make 🚀🚀🚀

On the daily timeframe, AMD has just completed a major structural shift. After spending months ranging and forming a base in the $180–$260 area, price has now broken out aggressively and pushed into the $300+ zone. This is not a small move — this is expansion out of a long consolidation range. The breakout above the prior resistance near $260–$270 is significant. That level has now flipped into higher timeframe support, and the recent rally into $300+ confirms strong momentum and institutional participation. The current daily candles are extended, but not showing rejection yet. That tells me this is still expansion, not exhaustion. As long as AMD holds above the $285–$290 area on pullbacks, the higher timeframe remains bullish and favors continuation rather than reversal. Key Daily levels: Major support: $285 → $290 Breakout base: $260 → $270 Expansion zone: Above $305 1-Hour Chart Analysis (Primary Structure & Bias): On the 1-hour timeframe, AMD is in a clean continuation phase after reclaiming $290–$295 and pushing through $300 with strong momentum. The structure is clearly bullish — higher highs, higher lows, and no meaningful breakdown attempts. What matters here is acceptance above $300. Price is not getting rejected — it is holding and building value. That usually signals continuation, not distribution. As long as AMD stays above $294–$295, the 1-hour trend remains intact and favors further upside attempts. Key 1H levels: Structural support: $294 → $295 Acceptance zone: $300 → $303 Expansion zone: Above $304.50 15-Min Chart Analysis (Execution & Timing): On the 15-minute chart, AMD is consolidating tightly after a strong impulse move into $304. Instead of pulling back aggressively, price is holding near highs around $302–$303, which is exactly what you want to see in a strong trend. Momentum has cooled slightly, but there is no sign of sellers taking control. This looks like a pause, not a reversal. The prior breakout level around $300 is being respected, and that keeps the short-term structure bullish. If AMD continues to hold this range, the next move is likely another push higher once buyers step back in. 15-min levels to watch: Support to defend: $300 → $301 Immediate resistance: $304 → $304.50 Trigger: Acceptance above $304.50 GEX Analysis (Dealer Positioning & Confirmation): GEX positioning supports the current structure. There is visible resistance building near $304–$305, which aligns with the current price ceiling. If AMD pushes through that level, dealer hedging could help accelerate the move higher. On the downside, support sits well below in the high-$280s to low-$290s, aligning with the breakout zone on both the 1H and Daily charts. This creates a strong cushion underneath price unless $300 fails. This is a stable environment — not showing aggressive downside pressure. It supports continuation as long as key levels hold. My Thoughts: AMD is not just bouncing — it is in a real breakout phase on the daily timeframe. That’s the most important part. The lower timeframes are simply showing how price is holding and deciding the next move. The only concern right now is extension. After a strong run, the market needs either consolidation or a pullback before the next leg. Chasing blindly at highs is not ideal. The cleaner setups are either: Holding $300 for continuation or Breaking $304.50 with strong acceptance As long as AMD stays above $300, the bias remains bullish. A loss of that level would likely shift the move into a deeper pullback toward $295. Options Outlook (This Week): Bullish continuation: 305C or 310C if price accepts above $304.50 Pullback entry: Calls near $300–$301 if support holds Risk hedge: 295P only if $300 breaks cleanly Volatility note: IV is elevated, so directional plays are still valid, but chasing far OTM premiums after expansion carries more risk. Conclusion: AMD has confirmed a higher timeframe breakout and is now holding above $300. The daily chart defines the bullish structure, the 1-hour confirms continuation, and the 15-minute provides clean execution levels. GEX supports a stable environment with upside potential. Above $300, buyers remain in control. Acceptance above $304.50 opens the next leg higher.

Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) has been trading within a 6-year Channel Up since the March 2020 Low and this week is about to test the pattern's Top (Higher Highs trend-line). This current 5-week rebound was initiated after almost touching the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line), the market's long-term Support. As the Time Cycles reveal, a Cycle Top here is expected, with the price having also just hit the 1.236 Fibonacci extension, which is where it priced the previous Higher High on March 04 2024. The only difference with the last two Highs is that the 1W RSI had already hit its own 6-year Resistance since October 20 2025. In any case, this is the most optimal long-term sell entry on AMD, and depending on whether is bottoms in 315 days (as in 2022) or 399 days (as in 2024), we have a potential $130 - 115 Target Zone. Technically the 1M MA100 (red trend-line), which is the market's multi-year Support, is expected to hold. Also, if the 1W RSI hits the 32.25 Support, which is where both the 2022 and 2025 bottoms where priced, it will be the strongest technical Buy Signal regardless of the price AMD will be at at the time. --- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** --- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇

NASDAQ:AMD ripping to a new ATH at $303 (+6.5%) as Wave C pushes toward its 1st target at $312 (after completing Wave B structure at $149). If momentum keeps up, $412 is still on the table. Let’s see how this plays out. Happy Trading!

Setup: On the 4h, AMD has been in a strong multi-week uptrend from the ~192 lows, making higher highs through 280 and now consolidating just below that level. The Apr 16 gap thrust from ~265 to ~280 established a new demand zone with the gap body holding as support through Apr 17 and into today. On the 1h, today's open ran to 280.45, rejected, and has been stepping down through the session — a clean intraday pullback into the gap-fill zone and the prior breakout shelf near 275-276. The current candle structure shows diminishing red candles with tails catching bids, consistent with a healthy digestion rather than a breakdown. Volume on the pullback is light relative to the gap thrust bars, confirming absorption. Flow: Bullish options sentiment dominates with a 5.1 call/put volume ratio and net bullish premium of ~$746K versus $231K bearish. The heaviest flow is concentrated in the 280C strikes across Apr 24 and May 1 expiries — traders are positioned for continuation through or above 280 this week. The Morgan Stanley agentic AI narrative is a fresh catalyst with direct AMD CPU/GPU read-through, and semis are leading the tape today. The 290C May 1 block adds a higher-conviction upside target expression. Plan: Stop is set below the gap-fill zone and the 272-273 area where the Apr 16 gap candle opened — a close below there would invalidate the thesis that the gap is holding as support. Target is the 285 level, which is the first significant options wall (7,000+ OI in the Apr 24 285C) and a natural extension of the measured thrust. TTL is set to allow for a drift into the level without chasing. 📍 Entry: 275.5 🛑 Stop: 272.5 🎯 Target: 285 ⚖️ R:R: 3.17

🎰Amd ( NASDAQ:AMD ) is sitting at major resistance: 🔎Analysis summary: This month Amd created an incredibly rally of about +35%. But looking at the higher timeframe, this just happened after a significant all time high break and retest. With the current retest of the major resistance trendline though, we could see a reversal. 📝Levels to watch: $275 Trusting the Trading Gods🙏🏻

AMD stock idea (private) was shared on 26 Dec 2025. Entry point was expected to be 163 and the TP 01 was 277 levels with potential for 311 levels.