Targets 285 - 325. SMC let ours way.. No trading advice

Nothing makes sense anymore. There is absolutely no reason for Adobe to be trading at 2018 levels. Much of the selloff was attributed to pure speculation on AI eliminating the use for much of it's programs. Instead, the programs themselves are integrating AI to run more effective. Nvidia just came out as endorsing Adobe as the “AI application layer” winner. They are backing Adobe’s Firefly models and integrating its AI stack to accelerate them. Adobe in turn is building next-gen Firefly models directly on Nvidia’s GPUs, libraries, and AI frameworks. This means better quality, faster generation, and enterprise-grade scale which is exactly what paying customers care about. On top of that Adobe is still delivering double-digit revenue growth at around 12% and strong subscription expansion, while announcing a $25 billion dollar stock buyback. This is easily a $400+ stock. Disclaimer: I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor. I am an amateur investor. All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, or stock picks, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies. I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here. Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on here, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise. Feel free to give us a follow and shoot us a like for more analysis updates.ting a bounce at this is key near-term support.

According to this wave count i think the big correction ABC (orange) has already finished. - Wave 1 = Wave 5 (Blue) - Bullish divergence on RSI Please don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments!

- Exchange: Kraken - Instrument: xStocks - Timeframe: Weekly - Trade type: Buy limit order - Price: 254.51 - Take Profit: Open - Stop Loss: 227.14 Idea: Enter on a breakout of the high of last week’s candle—a signal of continued upward momentum. Entry: Buy Stop above last week’s high. Stop-loss: Below the low of the same candle. A pullback below this level invalidates the trade. Take Profit: Trailing stop following the lows of new weekly candles. This is not an individual investment recommendation.

SYMBOL: NASDAQ:ADBE | DIRECTION: SHORT from $305 | TIMEFRAME: 5-Week Published: April 2026 The business model worked beautifully for two decades. Lock customers into subscriptions, acquire every serious competitor before they can become a threat, and let the compounding revenue machine do the rest. The stock reflected it, thirty years of uninterrupted respect for the 100-week RMA. Not in 2002. Not in 2008. Not in 2011. Until now. Three signals have just printed simultaneously on the 5-week, 7-week, and 12-day charts. Each is significant on its own. Together, they form an argument that the correction in Adobe is not over. In fact it may be only beginning. On the above 5-week chart price action has printed below the 100 RMA for the first time in over 30 years. Several reasons now exist to consider significantly further downside. They include: 1) The 100 RMA . Broken for the first time in 30 years. The black line on the 5-week chart has been respected without exception since the mid-1990s. It held through the dot-com collapse. It held through the financial crisis. It held through COVID. Every test — and there were many, resulted in a bounce. Price has now confirmed a break below it. On this timeframe, 30-year support levels do not break on noise. They break on structural change. 2) Adam and Eve double top confirmed. The formation is annotated clearly on the 5-week chart. Adam: the sharp, impulsive first peak. Eve: the broader, rounded distribution top that followed. The neckline of this pattern has broken. The measured move of an Adam and Eve double top on a 5-week timeframe projects significantly below current levels. This is not a speculative read. It is a textbook distribution pattern at the end of a multi-decade bull run. They do not print at the top for no reason. 3) First ever break of the Gaussian channel on the 7-week chart. The Gaussian channel has contained every correction in Adobe's listed history. That’s 35 years of trading, every bear market, every drawdown. Price has now closed below it for the first time ever. When a channel that has never failed finally gives way, the implication is not a swift recovery to the mean. It is a regime change. The 7-week chart is not broken. It is telling you that the character of this stock has changed. 4) The business model is structurally challenged. Adobe's growth has rested on two pillars: subscription lock-in and competitive suppression through acquisition. Both are weakening. Subscription fatigue is not a headline; it’s a behavioural shift. Customers are auditing every recurring fee, and the value proposition of creative tools that have evolved marginally over five years is increasingly difficult to defend at premium pricing. The second pillar, buying out threatening competitors before they scale is meeting resistance. Regulators blocked the Figma deal. Competition from AI-native design tools is arriving faster than any acquisition strategy can absorb. The business is not broken today. But the compounding growth story that justified a 30-year premium multiple is under more pressure than the current sell-side consensus acknowledges. 5) RSI and the composite oscillator at multi-decade extremes. The short-term picture is unambiguously oversold, the 12-day Stochastic RSI is at the floor, and the composite oscillator is approaching its lowest reading in years. A technical bounce from here is entirely possible and should be expected. It does not, however, change the macro argument. Structural breakdowns routinely produce violent countertrend rallies. Those rallies are not recoveries. They are selling opportunities for those who understand what the higher timeframe is saying. Targets • 1st target: $160. Expect a significant reaction here, it is the 50% level. • 2nd target: $50. The lower boundary of the long-term resistance from the year 2000 until the 2014 breakout. What about the upside? A confirmed 5-week close back above the 100 RMA cancels the bearish thesis entirely. The line held for 30 years. If price reclaims it convincingly, that changes the argument. Until that happens, the burden of proof rests with the buyers, not the sellers. The crowd Adobe is still widely regarded as a great business. Analysts are still defending their price targets. The institutional consensus has not shifted. That is not a source of comfort, it is the setup. The most damaging corrections in technology stocks always unfold while the consensus is still constructive. The chart is already three signals deep into a structural breakdown. The narrative will catch up eventually. Is it possible price finds support here and recovers? Sure. Is it probable given what the 5-week and 7-week charts are showing? Look left. Look at the 100 RMA. Look at the Gaussian channel. Is this time different? Ww Type: Speculative short / educational | Timeframe: 12–24 months =================================================== Disclaimer : This idea is for educational and informational purposes only. It is not financial advice. Investing in equities involves substantial risk of loss. Always do your own research and consult a qualified financial adviser before making any investment decisions. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

NASDAQ:ADBE Long > 15% /Big Cap This stock is interesting. There may be a point to enter a position. Always remember to use a protective order if you're trading with leverage!! Don't risk it if you're not sure. Good luck to everyone.

Trade Plan: ADBE • Direction: Long • Entry: 239.00 • Stop Loss: 200.00 • TP1: 335.00 • TP2: 450.00 • TP3: 650.00 Take partial profits at each target, then trail stop to protect profits. Analysis based on market structure, volume profile and harmonic pattern. Not financial advice.

The company’s fundamentals remain strong, anchored by its Creative Cloud and Document Cloud platforms, which continue to deliver recurring subscription revenue. In its latest results, Adobe posted steady double-digit revenue growth, supported by expanding margins and robust free cash flow. Despite near-term volatility and investor concerns over competition in AI-driven design tools, Adobe’s balance sheet strength and consistent profitability highlight its long-term value. Financially, ADBE trades at a premium valuation, reflecting confidence in its innovation pipeline. With the stock oversold after a deep drop, fundamentals suggest potential for a rebound.

Overview: Adobe (ADBE) is currently trading at a critical technical juncture on the Monthly (1M) timeframe. After a significant correction from its 2021 and 2024 peaks, the price has returned to a primary ascending support trendline that has anchored the price action since 2018. Technical Observations: Trendline Support: We are seeing a confluence of the lower boundary of a descending channel and a long-term horizontal support zone. Price Action: The current candle is testing the $240–$250 liquidity pocket. Historically, this trendline has triggered strong impulsive moves to the upside. Risk/Reward: With an entry around $242 and a stop loss tucked below the previous swing low ($180), the R:R ratio is highly favorable for a target toward the $570 median line/resistance. Expectation: I expect to see signs of accumulation or a "bottoming tail" on the monthly close. If support holds, a multi-month recovery toward the upper trendline is the primary thesis. A break below $180 would invalidate this long-term bullish outlook.

quick update since the correction on the market. we are looking like we could have a possible recovery by looking at macd and price there is a divergence. let's see if we can get conformation at this level looks like a good support we will have to get conformation at next weeks close.