🔎 Overview
DEXE/USDT is currently retesting the weekly demand zone ($6–8) which has historically acted as a strong accumulation area during 2022–2023. After a massive rally in 2024 followed by a strong correction in early 2025, price has formed a series of lower highs, showing clear selling pressure from smart money.
Now, the market is at a critical juncture: will this demand zone hold and spark a new bullish phase, or will it break down and send price back toward historical lows?
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📌 Market Structure & Pattern
Macro trend: still bearish since the 2021 peak, despite a relief rally in 2024.
Current structure: a sequence of lower highs, signaling sellers remain in control.
Demand zone $6–8: a major support zone that has served as an institutional accumulation area before.
False break wick below the zone, quickly reclaimed → typical sign of liquidity grab/shakeout before potential reversal.
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🚀 Bullish Scenario
1. Confirmation: Weekly close above $8.975 → strong sign that buyers are regaining control.
2. Upside targets (layered resistances):
$11.571 → first target (minor supply test).
$15.602 → mid-term target, partial profit zone.
$20.115 → major bullish target if momentum extends.
3. Entry strategies:
Conservative: Wait for a confirmed close > $8.975.
Aggressive: Accumulate gradually within $6–8 with a stop below the zone.
4. Market psychology: This area often represents smart money re-entry after stop-hunting retail traders.
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🔻 Bearish Scenario
1. Confirmation: Weekly close below $6.0 → demand zone failure.
2. Downside potential: Breakdown would open room toward lower support areas ($4.5 → $3.0 → even $1.8).
3. Strategy:
Exit longs if weekly closes below $6.0.
Shorts only for experienced traders due to limited liquidity.
4. Market psychology: A breakdown of this demand zone would trigger panic selling and shift sentiment heavily bearish.
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🎯 Conclusion
DEXE/USDT is standing at a golden decision point that will define its mid-term direction:
If held → potential bullish rally toward $11–20+.
If broken → high risk of continuation down toward sub-$5 levels.
This is a high-risk, high-reward zone: the opportunity is big, but false breaks are common. Risk management is key.
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📌 Trading Notes
Always use weekly close for confirmation, not just wicks.
Keep risk per trade < 3% of total capital.
Monitor BTC/ETH correlation as it strongly impacts altcoins.
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