The technical debate is currently intense within the financial analyst community to determine whether the $60,000 low in Bitcoin, established on Friday, February 6, could represent the final bottom of the bear market. This corresponds to a 50% drawdown from the all-time high reached last October— is it sufficient? You can revisit my analysis on this question by opening the chart below. In this new crypto analysis on TradingView, I propose a focus on the decentralized finance sector, the well-known DeFi. Within DeFi activities, the one that appears to me the most concrete and measurable in terms of cash generation is the “lending” activity. These are financial lending services hosted on the blockchain, which could be supported by the upcoming crypto regulatory framework in the United States, the Clarity Act. Within this category, there are two leaders: AAVE and MORPHO. Which one should be favored from a fundamental perspective? To answer this question, it is first necessary to understand that Aave and Morpho do not adopt exactly the same approach to lending. AAVE is now a true “decentralized bank,” with significant liquidity depth, diversified collateral, and proven robustness across multiple market cycles. It is a mature, secure protocol that is widely adopted by crypto institutions. Morpho, on the other hand, positions itself as an optimization layer. Its objective is to improve capital efficiency by directly matching lenders and borrowers, while relying on existing pools such as those of AAVE. The result: often more attractive rates and better allocation of resources. From a fundamental standpoint, the choice therefore depends on your investor profile. AAVE offers stability, visibility on generated revenues, and strong resilience during periods of market stress. Morpho, meanwhile, offers more aggressive innovation with higher growth potential, but also an indirect dependency on existing infrastructures. In summary, AAVE can be seen as a DeFi “blue chip,” while Morpho represents a growth and optimization thesis for the on-chain credit market. In a diversified portfolio, the two approaches are not incompatible, but rather complementary. From a technical analysis perspective, AAVE/USD represents a technical opportunity when the price is within the accumulation zone between $50 and $90. The chart below shows Japanese candlesticks of AAVE/USD on weekly data (left) and daily data (right). The technical accumulation zone from the previous bear market lies between $50 and $100. The chart below shows Japanese candlesticks on weekly data for the MORPHO crypto. The crypto has significantly outperformed other altcoins since the end of 2025. DISCLAIMER: This content is intended for individuals who are familiar with financial markets and instruments and is for information purposes only. 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Hi traders, My Take on the Recent Hack Before I get into the levels, I have to address the elephant in the room. Over the last 72 hours, we’ve seen a massive "Black Swan" event. The Kelp DAO bridge was exploited for $292 million in rsETH. The attackers then used that stolen, now-worthless collateral to borrow roughly $190 million in assets directly from Aave. Because of this, I’m tracking about $230 million in bad debt currently sitting on Aave’s books. We’ve already seen institutions like Abraxas Capital pulling hundreds of millions out of the protocol, and the total value locked has cratered. The market is effectively pricing in the fear that the protocol might not be able to cover these losses. My Trading Strategy: The "Contrarian" Support Play Despite that nightmare scenario, I’m looking at your chart and seeing a potential opportunity to buy the blood in the streets. The Setup I’m watching the price stabilize inside that red support zone you’ve identified between $85.00 and $89.00. This is a massive historical floor. My theory here is that the "weak hands" have already been shaken out by the hack news. I’m betting that the Aave DAO will use its $181M treasury to backstop the debt, which would trigger a massive relief rally. My Execution Parameters Entry: I’m looking to buy in the $89.50 – $91.50 range. This is where I want to see the price "wick" into the red box and hold. Stop Loss: I’m placing my hard stop at $85.40. If we get a weekly close below this red line, it tells me the protocol's "bad debt" crisis is getting worse, and I’m out. Take Profit: My target is $112.50. This is the level where the price was trading before the hack news broke on Saturday. If the protocol survives this, I expect a full "mean reversion" back to this level. My Final Thoughts This is easily the riskiest trade we’ve discussed today. I’m treating this as a high-conviction "bounce" play, but I’m keeping my position size small because of the liquidity crunch. If the Aave DAO decides to slash the Safety Module (effectively liquidating AAVE holders to pay the debt), this chart could break down quickly. I’m keeping a very close eye on the RSI—I want to see it hold above 40 while the price stays in our zone. If it does, I think we’ve found the bottom.

$AAVE/USDT is currently trading inside a well-defined accumulation range between 86 – 96, following a broader downtrend marked by a descending trendline from higher levels. Price recently attempted a breakout toward 117 but faced strong rejection from the trendline resistance, confirming the higher timeframe bearish pressure still exists. At present, price has returned to the range and is stabilizing near mid-zone, indicating ongoing accumulation. Key Observations: Clear range-bound structure (86 – 96) Repeated rejection from descending trendline Failed breakout attempt suggests supply above RSI near lower levels, indicating potential for bounce Trade Setup (Range-Based Approach): Entry Zone: 88 – 92 (within demand zone) Stop Loss: Below 85 Targets: 95.7 (range high) 105.3 (next resistance) 117.4 (trendline resistance) Alternate Scenario: A confirmed breakout above 96 could shift momentum toward 105 and 117. Breakdown below 86 would invalidate the range and may lead to further downside. Overall, price remains in consolidation, and the next directional move will likely come from a range breakout. NFA | DYOR

V-Shape Recovery Signals Strong Bullish Intent: Price deviated below the swing low but quickly reclaimed it with a sharp V shape recovery, showing strong buyer aggression. This kind of reclaim often traps sellers and shifts momentum back to the upside. The reaction indicates liquidity sweep followed by immediate strength. Currently, price is holding above the breaker zone with added EMA support, reinforcing the bullish structure. As long as this confluence holds, market looks positioned for further upside. Continuation toward higher levels is highly likely from here. * Liquidity sweep below swing low with strong reclaim * Holding above breaker zone with EMA confluence * Upside continuation expected from current structure

Instructions: Entry point: yellow Stop loss: red Take profit: green 👉Leverage x 5-10-20 for crypto 👉Leverage x 20-50-100 for commodities, stocks, indices, and forex 👉Margin 1-5% max. Always practice risk and money management. Invest a maximum of 5% on any trade or across all your trades. Invest only what you can afford to lose, as no one is in control of the market. 👉Our analyses are primarily based on breakouts: two trend lines (ascending and descending) and a line indicating a horizontal breakout. We associate at least two indicators with this technique. 👉Depending on the circumstances, we use specific indicators, often setting 3 or more take profit levels. 👉Indeed, there are good days in trading and also bad days. No one can promise to win every trade, and like all traders worldwide, we also experience stop-loss orders. However, we win more than we lose and remain positive. 👉You can close the position before or after the take profit orders indicated by the green lines if you are personally satisfied; the same applies to stop loss orders. 👉We must stay positive, clear-headed, and humble. we cannot provide all instructions or all trades here on this channel. Good luck to us all, and may God guide us. Amen.

AAVE 50% OI rise - i expect big move if price stay above vwap -we should take long with meain goal $119 safer entry you`ll get in a video

**AAVE/USDT Technical Analysis - 3D Timeframe (Updated April 20, 2026)** ### 1. Current Market Overview - Current Price: **91.14 USDT** (-9.90% in the latest session) - Volume: 968.55K (+0.95%) - Overall Trend: **Strong Bearish** after the major bull cycle of 2023–2025 - Market Structure: Clear Lower Highs and Lower Lows since late 2025 ### 2. Trendline Analysis - Bold blue line: Major bullish trendline from 2023 → strongly broken to the downside in mid-2025 - Light green line: Long-term dynamic support → price has recently broken below it - Price is currently trading below both key trendlines → confirms ongoing downtrend ### 3. Fibonacci Analysis - Price is currently in a weak support zone (near 0.236 or lower levels of previous Fib retracements) - Key Resistance Levels: - Short-term: 120 – 130 USDT (Fib 0.382 – 0.5) - Medium-term: 150 – 180 USDT - Strong resistance: 220 – 230 USDT (Point C) - Next Support Zone: 70 – 80 USDT (if 91 USDT is lost) ### 4. Gann Box & 45-Degree Angle (1x1 Angle) Analysis - 2023–2025 period: Price moved **along or above** the 45-degree (1x1) angle → perfect time-price balance, supporting strong uptrend - Since late 2025: Price has **broken below** multiple important 1x1 lines → loss of balance, confirming bear market according to Gann theory - Current situation (April 2026): Price is trading **below most major 45-degree angles** of previous Gann Boxes → bearish momentum remains dominant - Nearest 45-degree angle acting as resistance: approximately 120 – 140 USDT ### 5. Market Structure & Psychology - Market is in a **strong corrective phase / bear market** - No clear reversal signals yet (no strong bullish candles, no significant buying volume spike, no break of bearish structure) - Important swing points marked: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5 (major top), A, B, C ### 6. Short-term Scenarios **Bearish Scenario (Higher Probability at the moment):** - Continued decline toward 70 – 80 USDT or lower if support at 91 USDT fails - Weak sideways movement or gradual decline within lower Gann Boxes **Bullish Scenario (Needs Confirmation):** - Strong rebound and break back above the 45-degree angle + Fib 0.382 (~120–130 USDT) - Accompanied by significantly increased volume and strong green candles ### Conclusion AAVE is currently in a **clear downtrend** according to Fibonacci retracements, trendlines, and Gann 45-degree angles. The 45-degree angle analysis confirms that bearish momentum remains dominant. The 120–130 USDT zone is the most critical resistance level to watch. **IMPORTANT DISCLAIMER**: This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only. It is not financial advice, investment recommendation, or a solicitation to buy, sell, or hold any asset. Trading cryptocurrencies involves significant risk of loss. Always do your own research (DYOR) and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Past performance is not indicative of future results. **Note**: This is purely technical analysis based on the provided chart. It should be combined with fundamental factors (Aave TVL, DeFi news, Bitcoin correlation, etc.) for a more comprehensive view.

It may be close to the bottom. This is one of the top 10 cryptos with yearly revenue of 125 + million and growing. I bet this can hit 800 by Jun 2027. All the best and not a financial advice.

CRYPTOCAP:AAVE crashed 23% at the upper channel resistance line as the protocol was hacked. Price has lost the daily pivot and heading to fresh lows, keeping wave 2 alive. The trend down has been in control since October, now with no signs of ending soon. Daily RSI also had hidden bearish divergence Bitcoin dominance continues to climb as it closes above its daily 200EMA for the first time in over a year

AAVE is up 40% from the breakout, this is a blue chip defi coin which currently leads with $24.8B TVL via DefiLlama as for the whole protocol, Aave holds over $34 billion in TVL, maintaining a lead of more than $7 billion over its closest competitor. $228 short term target.