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moonypto
Qualcomm Delivers Strong Q4 on Handset Rebound and AI Momentum
When Your Chip Business Out Chips the Market Its time to check Qualcomm’s latest numbers, and it’s pretty clear the handset business is back in a big way. Let’s break it down.. fiscal Q4 revenue came in at $11.3 billion, up 10% from last year and half a billion above what analysts expected. Earnings per share hit $3.00 on a non GAAP basis 13 cents better than forecast. The heavy lifting came from the chip business, QCT, which grew 13% to $9.8 billion. Handsets were the star. That segment jumped 14% to $7 billion, and it’s not hard to see why Samsung’s premium Android phones are flying off the shelves, and Qualcomm’s Snapdragon chips are right in the middle of that. Automotive also set a record at $1.1 billion, up 17%, which shows the car tech push is paying off. IoT grew a respectable 7% to just over a billion. The one soft spot was licensing QTL dropped 7% to $1.4 billion, but that’s a smaller piece of the pie these days. Cash flow was insane! $12.8 billion in free cash for the full year, a record. They returned $3.4 billion to shareholders in the quarter alone, even after eating a $5.7 billion non cash hit from a U.S tax bill Looking ahead, management’s guidance for Q1 FY26 is aggressive $11.8 to $12.6 billion in revenue and $3.30 to $3.50 in EPS, both crushing consensus. They’re calling for record handset revenue again, thanks to new flagship Snapdragon launches. CEO Cristiano Amon sounded pumped on the conference call, talking up over 150 AI PC designs in the works, real traction in automated driving, and a faster than expected move into AI data centers, with meaningful volume now slated for fiscal ’27 Qualcomm’s riding a strong rebound in premium smartphones, diversifying smartly into auto and PCs, and sitting on a mountain of cash The guidance suggests the momentum’s not slowing down anytime soon. If the Android flagship cycle stays hot and AI keeps infiltrating everything, this could be a solid setup into next year Are you bullish or bearish on QCOM from here?
7:04 AM · Nov 9, 2025
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DEXWireNews
Qualcomm Incorporated ($QCOM) Surges on Record Q4 Earnings
Qualcomm Incorporated (Nasdaq: NASDAQ:QCOM ) delivered a strong fiscal Q4 2025, posting record results that surpassed Wall Street expectations and reinforced its leadership across mobile, automotive, and IoT markets. The stock, currently trading near $172, remains in a long-term uptrend supported by a clear ascending trendline, with technicals hinting at a potential continuation rally toward the $230 region. For the quarter, Qualcomm reported $11.3 billion in revenue, exceeding its guidance range, and a non-GAAP EPS of $3, also above the high end of expectations. Its QCT (chipmaking) division led the charge, generating $9.8 billion, up 9% sequentially, while the automotive business posted a record $1 billion in quarterly revenue — a 36% year-over-year surge. The IoT segment also expanded by 22%, highlighting diversification beyond smartphones. On a full-year basis, Qualcomm’s fiscal 2025 non-GAAP revenue climbed 13% year-over-year to $44 billion, with QCT contributing $38.4 billion, up 16%. The company achieved a 29% EBT margin, hitting the upper end of guidance, and reported a record $12.8 billion in free cash flow, underscoring operational strength and disciplined capital management. Looking ahead, Qualcomm expects Q1 fiscal 2026 revenue between $11.8 billion and $12.6 billion, with EPS projected at $3.30 to $3.50. QCT revenue is guided between $10.3 billion and $10.9 billion, while licensing (QTL) is expected to deliver $1.4–$1.6 billion. Technically, the chart suggests a bullish retest scenario near $170–$165 before a possible rebound toward $230, aligning with the company’s strong growth outlook. With momentum building in automotive and AI-powered chip demand, Qualcomm is well-positioned for further upside as 2026 begins.
6:14 PM · Nov 6, 2025
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moomoo
Qualcomm Rose 11% in One Day on AI Plans. What Its Chart Says
Semiconductor designer Qualcomm NASDAQ:QCOM , which is known for providing products to the consumer-electronics industry, rose more than 11% to a 15-month high in a single day last week when it announced a pivot into the world of artificial intelligence. Let's see what QCOM's chart and fundamentals say following the news and ahead of this week's earnings release. Qualcomm's Fundamental Analysis QCOM plans to release fiscal Q4 numbers after the market close on Wednesday, with Wall Street currently looking for $2.86 in adjusted earnings per share on roughly $10.75 billion of revenue. That would represent a 6.3% annual gain in earnings from the $2.69 in adjusted EPS that QCOM reported in the same period last year. Revenue would likewise have risen some 5% from about $10.24 billion a year earlier. In fact, 16 of the 26 sell-side analysts that I know of that cover this name have revised their earnings estimates higher since the quarter began, while only nine have lowered their projections. (One estimate remains unchanged.) Of course, markets will also want to hear management's commentary on the shift to AI, which will put Qualcomm in head-to-head competition with likes of Nvidia NASDAQ:NVDA and Advanced Micro Devices NASDAQ:AMD . Qualcomm's Technical Analysis Now let's look at QCOM's chart going back some eight months and running through Friday afternoon: Readers will see that Qualcomm rose 70.5% between hitting a 17-month intraday low of $120.80 on April 7 and a $205.95 session high on Oct. 27 following the AI announcement. Still, QCOM has for the most part methodically traded during this whole period within the confines of the Raff Regression model that I created above (marked with orange and pink fields). That said, the stock has come in some after its Oct. 27 blow-off top -- perhaps because Qualcomm's new AI-friendly chips won't be ready for a number of months. As QCOM pulled back, it felt around for support close to the 38.2% Fibonacci-sequence retracement level of the stock's entire 2025 rally (marked with gray shading in the chart above). That's the downside pivot here, but there's technical help for Qualcomm not far below the 38.2% Fib level. QCOM's 21-day Exponential Moving Average (or "EMA," marked with a green line at $171.60) lies nearby. That's where we might find out if the swing crowd is on board with Qualcomm's recent upward move. If not, Qualcomm's 50-day Simple Moving Average (or "SMA," denoted with a blue line) and its 200-day SMA (the red line) aren't far below the 21-day EMA. Those are levels where the professional money managers might be, so there's plenty of possible support for QCOM indicated in the chart above. All in, Qualcomm's upside pivot could be the stock's recent $205.95 high. Conversely, the stock's downside pivot could be that 38.2% Fib level. As for the stock's secondary technical indicators, Qualcomm's Relative Strength Index (the gray line at the chart's top) is quite robust, yet not overbought technically. Meanwhile, the stock's daily Moving Average Convergence Divergence indicator (or "MACD," denoted by black and gold lines and blue bars at the chart's bottom) is overtly bullish. Within the MACD, the histogram of the 9-day EMA is well into positive territory, while the 12-day EMA rides above the 26-day EMA and both are above the zero-bound. Those are all bullish technical signals. An Options Option Options traders who want to go long on QCOM while getting paid to take on equity risk might utilize what's called a "bull-put spread." This is constructed by selling one put and buying a second one with a lower strike, but the same expiration date. Here's an example: -- Sell one QCOM $175 put with a Nov. 7 expiration date (i.e. after this week's earnings). This costs about $3.75. -- Buy one QCOM Nov. 7 $165 put for roughly $1.30. Net Credit: $2.45 Should Qualcomm -- which closed at $180.72 Monday -- never trade as low as $175 prior to the options' Nov. 7 expiration, the trader will simply pocket the $2.45 net credit. And should the stock trade below $175 at expiration but not below $165, the trader would end up long 100 shares of QCOM at a $172.55. But what if the shares take a serious beating between now and Nov. 7? Well, if QCOM drops below $165 at expiration, the trader in the example above would have lost $10 on the equity trade less the $2.45 net credit for the bull-put spread. That works out to a $7.55 net loss. (Moomoo Technologies Inc. Markets Commentator Stephen "Sarge" Guilfoyle had no position in QCOM at the time of writing this column, but was long NVDA and AMD.) This article discusses technical analysis, other approaches, including fundamental analysis, may offer very different views. The examples provided are for illustrative purposes only and are not intended to be reflective of the results you can expect to achieve. Specific security charts used are for illustrative purposes only and are not a recommendation, offer to sell, or a solicitation of an offer to buy any security. Past investment performance does not indicate or guarantee future success. Returns will vary, and all investments carry risks, including loss of principal. This content is also not a research report and is not intended to serve as the basis for any investment decision. The information contained in this article does not purport to be a complete description of the securities, markets, or developments referred to in this material. Moomoo and its affiliates make no representation or warranty as to the article's adequacy, completeness, accuracy or timeliness for any particular purpose of the above content. Furthermore, there is no guarantee that any statements, estimates, price targets, opinions or forecasts provided herein will prove to be correct. Options trading is risky and not appropriate for everyone. Read the Options Disclosure Document ( j.moomoo.com ) before trading. Options are complex and you may quickly lose the entire investment. Supporting docs for any claims will be furnished upon request. Options trading subject to eligibility requirements. Strategies available will depend on options level approved. Maximum potential loss and profit for options are calculated based on the single leg or an entire multi-leg trade remaining intact until expiration with no option contracts being exercised or assigned. These figures do not account for a portion of a multi-leg strategy being changed or removed or the trader assuming a short or long position in the underlying stock at or before expiration. Therefore, it is possible to lose more than the theoretical max loss of a strategy. Moomoo is a financial information and trading app offered by Moomoo Technologies Inc. In the U.S., investment products and services on Moomoo are offered by Moomoo Financial Inc., Member FINRA/SIPC. TradingView is an independent third party not affiliated with Moomoo Financial Inc., Moomoo Technologies Inc., or its affiliates. Moomoo Financial Inc. and its affiliates do not endorse, represent or warrant the completeness and accuracy of the data and information available on the TradingView platform and are not responsible for any services provided by the third-party platform.
4:52 PM · Nov 4, 2025
0
1
moomoo
Qualcomm Rose 11% in One Day on AI Plans. What Its Chart Says
Semiconductor designer Qualcomm NASDAQ:QCOM , which is known for providing products to the consumer-electronics industry, rose more than 11% to a 15-month high in a single day last week when it announced a pivot into the world of artificial intelligence. Let's see what QCOM's chart and fundamentals say following the news and ahead of this week's earnings release. Qualcomm's Fundamental Analysis QCOM plans to release fiscal Q4 numbers after Wednesday's market close, with Wall Street currently looking for $2.86 in adjusted earnings per share on roughly $10.75 billion of revenue. That would represent a 6.3% annual gain in earnings from the $2.69 in adjusted EPS that QCOM reported in the same period last year. Revenue would likewise have risen some 5% from about $10.24 billion a year earlier. In fact, 16 of the 26 sell-side analysts that I know of that cover this name have revised their earnings estimates higher since the quarter began, while only nine have lowered their projections. (One estimate remains unchanged.) Of course, markets will also want to hear management's commentary on the shift to AI, which will put Qualcomm in head-to-head competition with likes of Nvidia NASDAQ:NVDA and Advanced Micro Devices NASDAQ:AMD . Qualcomm's Technical Analysis Now let's look at QCOM's chart going back some eight months and running through Friday afternoon: Readers will see that Qualcomm rose 70.5% between hitting a 17-month intraday low of $120.80 on April 7 and a $205.95 session high on Oct. 27 following the AI announcement. Still, QCOM has for the most part methodically traded during this whole period within the confines of the Raff Regression model that I created above (marked with orange and pink fields). That said, the stock has come in some after its Oct. 27 blow-off top -- perhaps because Qualcomm's new AI-friendly chips won't be ready for a number of months. As QCOM pulled back, it felt around for support close to the 38.2% Fibonacci-sequence retracement level of the stock's entire 2025 rally (marked with gray shading in the chart above). That's the downside pivot here, but there's technical help for Qualcomm not far below the 38.2% Fib level. QCOM's 21-day Exponential Moving Average (or "EMA," marked with a green line at $171.60) lies nearby. That's where we might find out if the swing crowd is on board with Qualcomm's recent upward move. If not, Qualcomm's 50-day Simple Moving Average (or "SMA," denoted with a blue line) and its 200-day SMA (the red line) aren't far below the 21-day EMA. Those are levels where the professional money managers might be, so there's plenty of possible support for QCOM indicated in the chart above. All in, Qualcomm's upside pivot could be the stock's recent $205.95 high. Conversely, the stock's downside pivot could be that 38.2% Fib level. As for the stock's secondary technical indicators, Qualcomm's Relative Strength Index (the gray line at the chart's top) is quite robust, yet not overbought technically. Meanwhile, the stock's daily Moving Average Convergence Divergence indicator (or "MACD," denoted by black and gold lines and blue bars at the chart's bottom) is overtly bullish. Within the MACD, the histogram of the 9-day EMA is well into positive territory, while the 12-day EMA rides above the 26-day EMA and both are above the zero-bound. Those are all bullish technical signals. An Options Option Options traders who want to go long on QCOM while getting paid to take on equity risk might utilize what's called a "bull-put spread." This is constructed by selling one put and buying a second one with a lower strike, but the same expiration date. Here's an example: -- Sell one QCOM $175 put with a Nov. 7 expiration date (i.e. after this week's earnings). This costs about $3.75. -- Buy one QCOM Nov. 7 $165 put for roughly $1.30. Net Credit: $2.45 Should Qualcomm -- which closed at $180.72 Monday -- never trade as low as $175 prior to the options' Nov. 7 expiration, the trader will simply pocket the $2.45 net credit. And should the stock trade below $175 at expiration but not below $165, the trader would end up long 100 shares of QCOM at a $172.55. But what if the shares take a serious beating between now and Nov. 7? Well, if QCOM drops below $165 at expiration, the trader in the example above would have lost $10 on the equity trade less the $2.45 net credit for the bull-put spread. That works out to a $7.55 net loss. (Moomoo Technologies Inc. Markets Commentator Stephen "Sarge" Guilfoyle had no position in QCOM at the time of writing this column, but was long NVDA and AMD.) This article discusses technical analysis, other approaches, including fundamental analysis, may offer very different views. The examples provided are for illustrative purposes only and are not intended to be reflective of the results you can expect to achieve. Specific security charts used are for illustrative purposes only and are not a recommendation, offer to sell, or a solicitation of an offer to buy any security. Past investment performance does not indicate or guarantee future success. Returns will vary, and all investments carry risks, including loss of principal. This content is also not a research report and is not intended to serve as the basis for any investment decision. The information contained in this article does not purport to be a complete description of the securities, markets, or developments referred to in this material. Moomoo and its affiliates make no representation or warranty as to the article's adequacy, completeness, accuracy or timeliness for any particular purpose of the above content. Furthermore, there is no guarantee that any statements, estimates, price targets, opinions or forecasts provided herein will prove to be correct. Options trading is risky and not appropriate for everyone. Read the Options Disclosure Document ( j.moomoo.com ) before trading. Options are complex and you may quickly lose the entire investment. Supporting docs for any claims will be furnished upon request. Options trading subject to eligibility requirements. Strategies available will depend on options level approved. Maximum potential loss and profit for options are calculated based on the single leg or an entire multi-leg trade remaining intact until expiration with no option contracts being exercised or assigned. These figures do not account for a portion of a multi-leg strategy being changed or removed or the trader assuming a short or long position in the underlying stock at or before expiration. Therefore, it is possible to lose more than the theoretical max loss of a strategy. Moomoo is a financial information and trading app offered by Moomoo Technologies Inc. In the U.S., investment products and services on Moomoo are offered by Moomoo Financial Inc., Member FINRA/SIPC. TradingView is an independent third party not affiliated with Moomoo Financial Inc., Moomoo Technologies Inc., or its affiliates. Moomoo Financial Inc. and its affiliates do not endorse, represent or warrant the completeness and accuracy of the data and information available on the TradingView platform and are not responsible for any services provided by the third-party platform.
4:46 PM · Nov 4, 2025
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0
DCAChampion
QCOM: Exploring Potential 30% Upside in AI Chip Contender
QCOM: Exploring Potential 30% Upside in AI Chip Contender Amid Data Center Expansion – SWOT and Intrinsic Value Insights 📊 Introduction As of October 28, 2025, QUALCOMM Incorporated (QCOM) is experiencing post-announcement volatility following an 11% surge in the prior session, trading around $185 in pre-market after closing at $187.68. This movement stems from the launch of new AI accelerator chips aimed at competing in data centers, amid a broader tech rally driven by $500B in projected AI infrastructure spending and Fed rate stability at 4.75%. Sector dynamics reflect intensified competition in semiconductors, with NVIDIA and AMD also advancing, though macroeconomic factors like easing U.S.-China trade talks support chip demand, countered by ongoing export restrictions and supply chain inflation. 🔍 SWOT Analysis **Strengths 💪**: Qualcomm holds a commanding position in mobile chipsets with over 40% market share, bolstered by TTM revenue of $43.26B and net income of $11.57B. Robust financials include a 44.62% return on equity and quarterly revenue growth of 10.30% yoy, driven by diversified segments like automotive (up 20% yoy). Low beta of 1.23 indicates relative stability, with partnerships in 5G and IoT enhancing ecosystem strength. **Weaknesses ⚠️**: Debt-to-equity at 54.35% signals moderate leverage, potentially vulnerable in high-interest environments. Dependence on China for ~60% of revenue exposes risks from geopolitical tensions, while R&D costs (22% of revenue) could strain margins if AI adoption slows. Historical patent disputes add to operational challenges. **Opportunities 🌟**: The AI data center push, with new chips targeting inference markets, aligns with a $200B+ opportunity by 2027, per industry forecasts. Growth in edge AI and automotive semiconductors, backed by analyst EPS projections rising to $12.10 for 2026, supports valuation re-rating. Expansion into PCs and servers via Snapdragon platforms could capture 15-20% share from Intel. **Threats 🚩**: Fierce competition from NVIDIA's Blackwell and AMD's MI series threatens market erosion, with potential antitrust probes in the EU. Regulatory hurdles, such as U.S. export bans impacting 15-20% of sales, and broader sector volatility from tariff risks pose downside. Economic slowdowns may defer enterprise capex. 💰 Intrinsic Value Calculation Applying a value investing method for tech stocks, we calculate intrinsic value using a weighted blend of book value and earnings multiples, with a 20% margin of safety for cyclical risks. Inputs from filings: Book value per share $25.10, TTM EPS $10.36, assumed growth rate 10% (blending current 16.37% and next-year 1.71% projections). Formula: Intrinsic Value = (Book Value per Share * Weight) + (EPS * Growth Multiplier) - Weight for book value: 0.3 (asset-intensive adjustments) - Growth Multiplier: 28.5 (Graham-inspired: 8.5 + 2*10) Calculation: (25.10 * 0.3) + (10.36 * 28.5) = 7.53 + 295.26 = 302.79 Apply 20% margin of safety: 302.79 * 0.8 ≈ $242.23 At current price ~$185, QCOM appears undervalued by ~24-31% (upside to $242 fair value, aligned with forward P/E of 13.95 and comparables). Debt flags are minor at 54%, with sustainability tied to EPS growth above 10%. 📈 Undervalued. 📈 Entry Strategy Insights Institutional methods target support zones near $180-182 (near 50-day SMA) for unleveraged, long-term entries using dollar-cost averaging (DCA). Scale in on 4-7% dips, employing non-repainting volume-based signals to verify momentum shifts. Effective for 10-15% position accumulation over 2-4 months, with breakout targets above $190 for phased exits. 🚀 Spot zones. ⚠️ Risk Management Restrict sizing to 1-5% of portfolio to handle sector swings, diversifying across tech subsectors and defensives. Use trailing stops 7-10% below entry (e.g., $170) and favor long-term holds if ROE sustains, monitoring earnings reports and trade policy. Caution on 10-20% drawdowns from competitive news. 🔚 Conclusion Qualcomm's AI diversification, solid fundamentals, and undervalued profile amid tech momentum indicate potential to $242+, with safety buffers. Key takeaways: Track AI adoption for earnings uplift, independently validate growth estimates. This is educational content only; not financial advice. Always conduct your own due diligence.
1:28 PM · Oct 28, 2025
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