US stocks / GOOGL
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TotSamiyKaa
GOOGLE: THE BIG RETEST
Shorting a giant: Who is betting against Google, and what do they see in the technicals, that most miss? # - - - - - Fundmentals: Global Trend: Definitely Bullish 1. One of the world's top cash-generating machines, making it highly attractive to investors and using its cash capacity for share buybacks. 2. Technology dominance and competitive power in a wide range of digital markets (search, data, AI, content, etc.) due to acquiring the elite tech talent working and creating for the company. 3. A dirty but wealthy market player, meaning the company either buys competitors with better technologies or destroys them with lawsuits. Local Trend: Slightly Bearish 1. Due to increased energy costs for DCs (data centers, which the media attributes to AI) and current global energy demand, expenses might rise; consequently, the company will burn its cash and will have less power for buybacks. 2. There are still some powerful competitors in some markets where Google participates which are wealthy enough to fight back and steal customers from Google. 3. The most important point: big capital is rational and it sells on highs in order to buy on lows. And we are still not that far from the highs. This also happens because of difficult market sentiment, leading investors to make decisions quickly. # - - - - - Technicals: 1. The space above the recent high is empty so in case the price finds the bullish momentum, the upper bound will be unpredictable. BUT 2. An unclosed liquidity pocket and 1D Imbalances are directly below the low of the current 1W candle followed by the recent accumulation zone. A number of liquidity pockets follow down to 189.0 with another 1D Imbalance zone 3. The 2 zones which the price might see as targets for retest are the and the more important zone. This can be seen by the volumes traded during the recent consolidation of the price in the aforementioned zones. 4. The yellow lines at 259.0 and 200.0 are the first spots where the price will be protected by bulls as there are still orders placed there. 5. If we take a look at the 1D TF we see the price setting lower lows and lower highs, meaning a local bear market is underway. # - - - - - Conclusion: For the possible further correction there are 2 scenarios: Scenario #1: Healthy Correction: Maximum Drop of approx. 15% from the current price with targets in the Initial Target Zone ✅ Entry Point: Market 🛑 Stop-Loss: 327.21 🤑 Target 1: 258.8 🤑 Target 2: 250.0 🤑 Target 3: 240.7 Scenario #2: Fear on Markets: Maximum Drop of approx. 35% from the current price with Targets in MAIN Target Zone ✅ Entry Point: Market 🛑 Stop-Loss: 327.21 🤑 Target 1: 200.0 🤑 Target 2: 192.6 🤑 Target 3: 183.90 # - - - - - Both Scenarios are invalidated if we see 1W close above 318.0 # - - - - - Good Luck! ☺️ # - - - - - DISCLAIMER: Not financial advice. Everyone must make trading decisions at their own risk, guided only by their own criteria and strategy for opening or not opening a trade. # - - - - -
11:41 AM · Apr 2, 2026
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stingrayea
GOOGL — Squeeze Fired at 67% Mid Range, OBV Outflow Despite Aver
Volume printed 43.88M shares with dollar volume at 12.62B, classifying as Average on the Z-score at 0.43 — not a volume event, a routine session. VolZ 1:5 reads 0.43 against -0.02 five bars ago, a +0.44 Rising with single up arrow. Volume is gently building from a flat base, not accelerating aggressively. No futures data applies as this is an equity instrument. Signal count reads 31 green to 15 red out of 112, with 10 green to 4 red on close-versus-Tenkan — short-term momentum is recovering. EMA trend sits at 2 green to 3 red, still majority bearish across timeframes but slightly better than META and AMZN. Ichimoku TK at 3 green to 7 red confirms the intermediate and longer timeframes remain bearish. Candle bias reads 13 green to 1 red, recent price action is almost entirely bullish, identical to the other tech names reviewed. Supply-demand shows 8 demand zones to 1 supply — the cleanest overhead clearance of any equity today, only one supply zone standing between current price and open air. Spread reads 25.2% Moderate. Pattern signals show 2 Morning Stars and 1 Harami bullish with zero bearish pattern signals — 3 total bullish candle patterns against zero bearish. Squeeze FIRED with momentum Bear ↑ and BBW at 14.83% Normal, the release is underway. Vol Z at 0.43 Average. VolZ 1:5 at +0.44 Rising gently. Bull:Bear Z reads 1.16 to -0.82 Neutral overall — the buying volume is modestly above average but the classification sits at Neutral, not Bull Lean or Bull Dom. Selling volume below average at -0.82 is consistent with the buying side but the conviction is mild. OBV Z at 0.31 with Outflow direction is the contradictory signal. The OBV slope is pointing down while the Z-score sits at a mild positive — meaning the cumulative OBV is still above its mean but the recent bars are dragging it lower. Outflow on a bounce day with average volume and a squeeze firing is a yellow flag. S.Mom reads Exp ↑ at 95.1% Coiling — the squeeze momentum is expanding upward while price is still in coiling territory on the spot momentum, suggesting the fired squeeze has not fully propagated into volume expansion yet. Price at 67.1% Mid of the 349.00 to 162.00 range, meaning GOOGL at 287.56 is sitting in the upper-middle of its visible range. Retrace from prior structure high reads -8% Deep. Bounce from range low is only 5.7% at 0.7x Part — recovery ratio below 1x, partial classification, barely off the recent lows relative to the depth of the retrace. Cascade reads Normal with 5-bar cumulative move at -1%, essentially flat. The price chart shows a relatively contained structure compared to the other names — no dramatic cascade down, no explosive spike up, just a measured grind with a squeeze building and now firing. The honest read: GOOGL is the most structurally ambiguous of the equity batch. The 8 demand zones to 1 supply overhead is the strongest structural clearance of the group, and a squeeze firing with 2 Morning Stars and zero bearish patterns in a mid-range position is a cleaner risk-reward than chasing NVDA or META at their respective floor bounces. The problems are the OBV pointing Outflow on the fire bar, Bull:Bear Z only reaching Neutral rather than Bull Lean, and EMA stack at 2 of 14 timeframes bullish. Mid-range at 67.1% also means there is no floor urgency driving institutional buying — this is not a panic low being accumulated. The squeeze fired from a Coiling base with gentle volume acceleration is the setup type that tends to follow through when the macro environment cooperates, but with a 5-bar move at -1% the immediate momentum is still slightly negative. Confirmation requires the OBV Z slope reversing from Outflow to Inflow on the next strong volume bar. Is That Crypto Pump Real? Data Says No. Here's Why. Stop Losing Money to Fake Volume. Find Real Moves Now. Trade the REAL Crypto Volume. Stop Getting Faked Out.
9:25 AM · Apr 1, 2026
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VIAQUANT
GOOGLE - Predictive Fibonnaci Modeling
Based on the early signs that Google is entering an extended bear market, I have outlined the predicted Fibonacci sequence and the path price is most likely to follow. Google has developed a Head & Shoulders pattern that has recently broken the neckline. It is not as clean as the Meta pattern I outlined in my last post, but it is certainly still valid: Next, take a close look at the daily RSI. This has been one of the clearest bearish divergence signals on the daily chart. Throughout the entire move up, price printed consecutive higher highs while the RSI simultaneously printed consecutive lower highs (red arrows), showing that each successive move to the upside was getting progressively weaker. Once price saw its final rejection at overbought conditions, the bearish divergence began to play out in price action leading to the significant drop we are currently seeing. Future Predicted Fibonacci Targets 0.618 of the Micro Trend ($256) The first level to watch is the 0.618 of the micro trend within my predicted Fibonacci sequence. This also coincides with the highs from September and October 2025, adding confluence to this level. 0.618 of the Macro Trend (non-predicted) ($220) The next major level is the 0.618 of the macro Fibonacci trend. This is a non-predicted level, meaning it is derived purely from established price structure. Macro Support Zone ($191-207) *Primary predicted Fibonnaci target sits slightly below $200* The main predicted low sits just below $200, a level that makes sense for several reasons. Not only does it align with one of the most significant psychological levels in Google's recent price history, but it also falls squarely within the green box I have labeled the "Macro Support Zone," ranging from $191 to $207.
8:07 PM · Mar 27, 2026
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