US stocks / CAT
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GoldenTraderz_2025
CAT: Short Case Trade Plan (Scaled Entry)
A short case based on fundamentals would argue that the stock's recent rapid ascent has led to overvaluation and that macro-risks are being ignored: Valuation Concerns: The stock recently reached an all-time high of $509.50. Despite the enthusiasm, some valuation models suggest CAT is overvalued, with a fair value estimate below the current market price. As of a recent date, the average 12-month analyst price target of $501.47 represented a slight downside from the current stock price. Deteriorating Earnings/Margins: Tariff Headwinds: Caterpillar has faced significant tariff-related expenses, which were previously forecasted to be as high as $1.5 billion to $1.8 billion for the year. Tariffs continue to negatively impact operating profit. Profit Decline: Second-quarter 2025 adjusted profit per share of $4.72 was a significant decrease compared to $5.99 in the second quarter of 2024. Second-quarter operating profit was also down 18% year-over-year. Cyclical and Macro Risks: The company is heavily reliant on cyclical markets like construction and mining, making its revenue vulnerable to a global slowdown. A prolonged downturn in the EAME (Europe, Africa, Middle East) construction sector has already been cited as a negative factor. Insider Selling: There has been significant insider selling over the past three months, including sales of millions of dollars of stock by executives. Increased Debt Level: The company has a high level of debt, which could pose risks during an economic downturn. Trade Idea: Entry 1 (First Resistance): Short an initial amount at $535.28. Entry 2 (Second Resistance/Channel Top): Short an additional amount at $551.69. Take Profit (Exit): Close the entire short position at $518.81.
2:43 PM · Oct 15, 2025
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jsphamoabeng
Symmetrical triangle formation
Bullish symmetrical triangle formation. Trigger over 435 then levels. Stop 433
10:30 PM · Sep 11, 2025
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QuantAi-Trend
CAT Technical Outlook – Testing Major Resistance
📊 CAT Technical Outlook – Testing Major Resistance Ticker: CAT (Caterpillar Inc.) Timeframe: 30-minute candles 🔍 Current Setup CAT has been in a sideways consolidation after its sharp August drop. Price action has formed a range with clear resistance near 421.80 and support near 406.00. At present, CAT is testing resistance at 421.80, a level that has repeatedly capped rallies. A breakout here could trigger a stronger move higher, while rejection may send price back into the consolidation zone. 📊 Breakout Levels 🚀 Upside (Bullish Scenario) Trigger: Break and close above 421.80 with volume. Intermediate Targets: 428.00–430.00 → Prior supply zone. 436.00–438.00 → Strong resistance cluster. Measured Move Target: ~442.00 (equal to consolidation height projection). 🔻 Downside (Bearish Scenario) Trigger: Rejection and drop below 414.00, then break under 406.00. Intermediate Supports: 410.00–408.00 → Mid-range support. 406.00 → Range base. Measured Move Target: ~400.00 (full range breakdown). 📈 Volume Analysis Recent candles show volume spikes on rallies, suggesting active buyers. However, resistance at 421.80 has yet to break convincingly. A volume-backed breakout could lead to a swift rally, while failure here may attract sellers back toward 406 support. ⚖️ Probability Bias Bulls are pressing resistance, but CAT needs a decisive close >421.80 to confirm upside. Until then, it remains in a range-bound market between 421.80 and 406. Breakout direction will set the tone for the next major move. ✅ Takeaway CAT is at a make-or-break resistance zone: Bullish Break > 421.80: Targets 428 → 436 → 442 Bearish Failure < 414 → 406: Targets 410 → 406 → 400 Keep a close eye on volume — it will validate whether CAT escapes its range or remains stuck in consolidation.
3:25 AM · Aug 21, 2025
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TradeStation
Caterpillar Pulls Back
Caterpillar rallied to a new high in late July, and now it’s pulled back. The first pattern on today’s chart is $407.63, a record weekly closing price from January. It briefly thwarted the industrial stock’s advance in early July. Prices pushed above and are now coming back to test the same level. Is old resistance becoming new support? Second, the 50-day simple moving average (SMA) had a “golden cross” above the 200-day SMA last month. That may reflect a bullish long-term trend. Third, stochastics have dipped to an oversold condition. TradeStation has, for decades, advanced the trading industry, providing access to stocks, options and futures. If you're born to trade, we could be for you. See our Overview for more. Past performance, whether actual or indicated by historical tests of strategies, is no guarantee of future performance or success. There is a possibility that you may sustain a loss equal to or greater than your entire investment regardless of which asset class you trade (equities, options or futures); therefore, you should not invest or risk money that you cannot afford to lose. Online trading is not suitable for all investors. View the document titled Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options at www.TradeStation.com . Before trading any asset class, customers must read the relevant risk disclosure statements on www.TradeStation.com . System access and trade placement and execution may be delayed or fail due to market volatility and volume, quote delays, system and software errors, Internet traffic, outages and other factors. Securities and futures trading is offered to self-directed customers by TradeStation Securities, Inc., a broker-dealer registered with the Securities and Exchange Commission and a futures commission merchant licensed with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission). TradeStation Securities is a member of the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority, the National Futures Association, and a number of exchanges. TradeStation Securities, Inc. and TradeStation Technologies, Inc. are each wholly owned subsidiaries of TradeStation Group, Inc., both operating, and providing products and services, under the TradeStation brand and trademark. When applying for, or purchasing, accounts, subscriptions, products and services, it is important that you know which company you will be dealing with. Visit www.TradeStation.com for further important information explaining what this means.
1:25 PM · Aug 13, 2025
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