VeChain (VET) has once again returned to its historical multi-year support zone, a level that has consistently acted as institutional accumulation territory around $0.012 – $0.017.
Every touch of this zone in the past has triggered massive bullish reversals, leading to multi-fold rallies. Now, VET stands at this critical juncture once again — and how it reacts here could determine its direction for the coming months.
The latest weekly candle shows a long downside wick, signaling strong buy-side absorption after a potential liquidity sweep.
This could be the early stage of a re-accumulation phase, but confirmation will only come if the price closes the week above this yellow support box.
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Structure & Pattern Overview
Macro trend: still forming lower highs since 2021 → overall bearish pressure remains dominant.
Key zone: the horizontal yellow box serves as a boundary between capitulation and reversal.
Price structure: potentially shaping a long-term double bottom pattern if this area holds.
Momentum: gradually slowing down — a classic sign of supply exhaustion before a possible macro reversal.
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Bullish Scenario – “Rebirth from the Base”
If the weekly candle closes above $0.017, VeChain could trigger a strong recovery move:
1. Bullish confirmation through a strong green weekly candle → validates accumulation zone.
2. Upside targets:
R1: $0.031
R2: $0.050
R3: $0.067
3. A breakout above $0.067 may open the door to $0.164 – $0.25, replicating the previous bull cycle.
4. Rising volume would confirm growing institutional interest and mark a shift in market sentiment.
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Bearish Scenario – “Break of Faith”
On the flip side, a weekly close below $0.012 would signal a macro breakdown:
1. Failed retest at the yellow zone → confirms the end of long-term accumulation.
2. Downside targets:
Initial: $0.0077 (historical low and next liquidity pocket).
3. Any short-term bounce after breakdown is likely to be a dead cat bounce, not a true reversal.
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Strategic Takeaway
VeChain now stands at its most critical juncture in over three years.
This is not just another technical level — it’s a battlefield between conviction and fear where smart money defines the next macro trend.
Bullish bias: if weekly closes above $0.017 → expect re-accumulation and a potential swing toward $0.03–$0.05.
Bearish bias: if the support breaks → prepare for a retest of $0.0077 before a new bottom forms.
Swing traders should wait for weekly confirmation before taking large positions, while long-term investors may consider gradual scaling within this range — but only with clear risk management.
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