Crypto / SUI
SU
Sui
$4.02
+0.00%
Past 3months
Trading vol1.951B
Market cap13.9B
Fully Diluted Valuation40.23B
Total Supply10B
5min
30min
1h
2h
1d
1w
1m
Newest
Hottest
Alireza_ITS
SUI‑USDT – Exhaustion or Extension?
1. Why this zone matters Price has reached the 0.886 Fib retrace of the May -> Jun swing. Momentum is fading: 1‑hour RSI peaked lower (60 vs. 69 on the prior swing). OBV and hourly volume both rolling over 2. Order‑flow snapshot (since 14 Jul 00:00 UTC) Spot CVD → up   Retail/FIAT buyers still lifting offers. Perp CVD → down Aggressive shorts absorbing that demand. Aggregated OI → up, now stalling Fresh longs trapped; beginning to unwind. Interpretation: spot bids are being offset by short perps, and the build‑up in leverage is leaking—classic exhaustion. 3. Historical stats to know The combo Spot CVD ↑ + Perp CVD ↓ + OI roll‑over + RSI bear‑div has produced a ≥ 1 % downside move within 30 minutes about 65 % of the time on tier‑1 alts (Jan 2023 – Apr 2025 sample). 4. Checklist before I short M5 structure break (lower‑high plus close below the last M5 swing low). Need a 1H candle CLOSE below the yellow ascending trendline! Perp CVD flips ≤ 0 and OI prints two consecutive down‑ticks. TPO sell tail with at least 3 single prints right at the high. If all three fire → short is live. Otherwise, stand aside. Bottom line Momentum is fading; spot buying is being soaked up by stealth perp shorts, and leverage is already leaking out. Wait for the checklist—then look for a mean‑reversion move lower. And remember: Reaction beats prediction.
11:17 AM · Jul 16, 2025
0
0
Loading...
logo© 2025 All rights reserved